Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreno vs. Kavanagh | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +4 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Moreno to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | +2 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | — | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kavanagh to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −2 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | +4 pts | +7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | +10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | — | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +1 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | SellKavanagh>99¢ | $1,113 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 236d | pbshine | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | SellKavanagh>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 236d | DEGENKAT | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | SellKavanagh>99¢ | $4,396 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 236d | dontsaymyname | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | SellKavanagh>99¢ | $1,045 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | SellKavanagh99¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | −$14 −1.0% | — | |
| 236d | laoli6682 fills | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh94¢ → 100¢ | $9,430 | +$570 +6.0% | 6 |
| 236d | PolyChrome2 fills | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh82¢ → 100¢ | $4,907 | +$1,077 +22% | 10 |
| 236d | PolyChrome | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | SellKavanagh62¢ → 100¢ | $2,094 | −$1,284 −61% | — |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | SellMoreno48¢ → 0¢ | $4,101 | +$4,101 +100% | — | |
| 236d | bubulalala | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | SellMoreno46¢ → 0¢ | $2,754 | +$2,754 +100% | — |
| 236d | jeffersonlau | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh62¢ → 100¢ | $3,127 | +$1,887 +60% | 14 |
| 236d | jtwyslljy | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh59¢ → 100¢ | $4,797 | +$3,403 +71% | 14 |
| 236d | bigick100 | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | SellKavanagh58¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | −$1,597 −71% | — |
| 236d | Notable-Future | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno35¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh72¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | +$833 +39% | 13 | |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh83¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$221 +20% | 10 | |
| 236d | tcp2 | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh83¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$340 +20% | 10 |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh67¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$743 +49% | 14 | |
| 236d | 0x5375…aeea2 fills | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno49¢ → 0¢ | $2,785 | −$2,785 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | H0NKER | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno64¢ → 0¢ | $4,997 | −$4,997 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | lonzoball | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno65¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | gmanas | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno64¢ → 0¢ | $10,843 | −$10,843 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | GamblingOdyssey | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh36¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$5,066 +178% | 14 |
| 236d | Massimo24 | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno65¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | SellMoreno64¢ → 0¢ | $1,904 | +$1,904 +100% | — | |
| 236d | Rubbery-LlamaNew account | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,152 | −$1,152 −100% | 29 |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh36¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$2,667 +178% | 14 | |
| 236d | Justluck9 | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno65¢ → 0¢ | $3,629 | −$3,629 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno65¢ → 0¢ | $5,500 | −$5,500 −100% | 14 | |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh36¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$1,920 +178% | 14 | |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno64¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 14 | |
| 236d | theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno64¢ → 0¢ | $12,692 | −$12,692 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | DrPufferfish | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno64¢ → 0¢ | $24,466 | −$24,466 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | Jdhdhduu4 fills | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh37¢ → 100¢ | $31,940 | +$54,383 +170% | 14 |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno64¢ → 0¢ | $4,818 | −$4,818 −100% | 14 | |
| 236d | joosangyoo | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno64¢ → 0¢ | $6,400 | −$6,400 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | Tbonepro | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh37¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$1,890 +170% | 14 |
| 236d | imsuperlate | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | 2800freebz | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno64¢ → 0¢ | $1,812 | −$1,812 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | bubulalala5 fills | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno65¢ → 0¢ | $14,932 | −$14,932 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | coldsoup22 | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh37¢ → 100¢ | $17,000 | +$29,434 +173% | 14 |
| 236d | slic | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno65¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 236d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno65¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 14 | |
| 236d | IAmHomelessNow | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh36¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$1,920 +178% | 14 |
| 236d | ChompChomp8882 fills | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh36¢ → 100¢ | $3,005 | +$5,422 +180% | 12 |
| 236d | knoxgold | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh35¢ → 100¢ | $36,590 | +$67,952 +186% | 14 |
| 236d | bzzz | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno66¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 12 |
| 237d | Portly-Derivation3 fills | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno66¢ → 0¢ | $40,000 | −$40,000 −100% | 15 |
| 237d | abouttojump | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh35¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$6,500 +186% | 12 |
| 237d | KirksCousin | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh35¢ → 100¢ | $3,439 | +$6,388 +186% | 12 |
| 237d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | SellKavanagh34¢ → 100¢ | $10,690 | −$20,751 −194% | — |
| 237d | 432614799197 | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh35¢ → 100¢ | $9,024 | +$16,759 +186% | 12 |
| 237d | shutitfatty | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno65¢ → 0¢ | $5,525 | −$5,525 −100% | 12 |
| 237d | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno65¢ → 0¢ | $2,649 | −$2,649 −100% | 9 | |
| 237d | elkmonkey2 fills | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno66¢ → 0¢ | $8,750 | −$8,750 −100% | 9 |
| 237d | elkmonkey3 fills | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh35¢ → 100¢ | $4,937 | +$8,975 +182% | 9 |
| 237d | Onmania | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyMoreno65¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 9 |
| 238d | quiteimprobable | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh35¢ → 100¢ | $2,212 | +$4,108 +186% | 9 |
| 239d | c4c4 | Moreno vs. Kavanagh | BuyKavanagh35¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$2,127 +186% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Moreno" if Brandon Moreno is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lone'er Kavanagh at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Kavanagh" if Lone'er Kavanagh is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Moreno vs. Kavanagh means the market gives it about 0%.