Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | 100% | +76 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −42 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nakamura to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −36 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +36 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −28 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +81 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −47 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hiestand to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +15 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hiestand in Round 2 | 100% | +89 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −42 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +52 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −41 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −42 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hiestand in Round 1 | 0% | −11 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Hiestand in Round 3 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Nakamura in Round 1 | 0% | −21 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Nakamura in Round 2 | 0% | −16 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Nakamura in Round 3 | 0% | −12 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,538 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 27d | 0xa0f2…1848 | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | SellBrady Hiestand>99¢ | $1,098 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | SellBrady Hiestand>99¢ | $1,255 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 27d | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | SellBrady Hiestand>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 27d | zcc19970101 | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | SellBrady Hiestand>99¢ | $1,092 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Ayrebhaze | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | SellBrady Hiestand>99¢ | $1,008 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyRinya Nakamura66¢ → 0¢ | $1,358 | −$1,358 −100% | 14 | |
| 27d | takeormake | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyRinya Nakamura62¢ → 0¢ | $1,259 | −$1,259 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | frohp5 | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyBrady Hiestand35¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,854 +185% | 14 |
| 27d | ferrariChampions2026 | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyBrady Hiestand25¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$3,902 +300% | 14 |
| 27d | Yawning-Chicken | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyBrady Hiestand23¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$3,734 +335% | 14 |
| 27d | Madeira99 | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyRinya Nakamura78¢ → 0¢ | $2,425 | −$2,425 −100% | 11 |
| 27d | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyBrady Hiestand23¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$7,700 +335% | 14 | |
| 27d | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyBrady Hiestand23¢ → 100¢ | $17,744 | +$59,114 +333% | 14 | |
| 27d | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyBrady Hiestand23¢ → 100¢ | $8,644 | +$28,939 +335% | 14 | |
| 27d | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyBrady Hiestand23¢ → 100¢ | $2,392 | +$8,008 +335% | 14 | |
| 27d | Sassy-Bucket2 fills | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyRinya Nakamura77¢ → 0¢ | $112,707 | −$113K −100% | 12 |
| 27d | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyRinya Nakamura77¢ → 0¢ | $11,550 | −$11,550 −100% | 10 | |
| 27d | christianox | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyBrady Hiestand25¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$3,750 +300% | 12 |
| 27d | Colorless-Spotlight | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | SellBrady Hiestand24¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | −$3,492 −317% | — |
| 28d | Neat-Brushfire | Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura | BuyBrady Hiestand24¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$3,215 +317% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Brady Hiestand" if Brady Hiestand is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rinya Nakamura at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Rinya Nakamura" if Rinya Nakamura is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura means the market gives it about 100%.