Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | 0% | −40 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −28 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −53 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −36 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −20 pts | −43 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +47 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lopes to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −11 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nurgozhay to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +59 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +20 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76d | juanuski235 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SellUnder98¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | −$21 −2.0% | — |
| 76d | tennischamp | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 76d | tennischamp | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $3,107 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 76d | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 76d | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $4,834 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 76d | wtylyjwyz | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $2,283 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 76d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay61¢ → 100¢ | $51,165 | +$33,127 +65% | 12 |
| 76d | Vigilant-Environment | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver58¢ → 0¢ | $2,193 | −$2,193 −100% | 14 |
| 76d | TheWindKnowsmyName | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder70¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | +$697 +42% | 14 |
| 76d | wtylyjwyz | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay62¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | +$866 +62% | 14 |
| 76d | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay61¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,279 +64% | 14 | |
| 76d | surfandturf | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay61¢ → 100¢ | $6,100 | +$3,900 +64% | 14 |
| 76d | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay60¢ → 100¢ | $26,376 | +$17,355 +66% | 14 | |
| 76d | kldjsh2 fills | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyBruno Lopes40¢ → 0¢ | $20,318 | −$20,318 −100% | 14 |
| 76d | tennischamp | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay60¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | +$889 +67% | 14 |
| 76d | Dingwin | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyBruno Lopes41¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 14 |
| 76d | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$800 +67% | 12 | |
| 76d | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay60¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,000 +67% | 12 | |
| 76d | ve36932 fills | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyBruno Lopes41¢ → 0¢ | $3,383 | −$3,383 −100% | 9 |
| 76d | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay62¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,839 +61% | 12 | |
| 76d | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay60¢ → 100¢ | $1,854 | +$1,236 +67% | 12 | |
| 76d | riverskew | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay60¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$2,400 +67% | 12 |
| 76d | Jsram | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 12 |
| 77d | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyBruno Lopes42¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | −$1,260 −100% | 9 | |
| 77d | WhateverDude | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay58¢ → 100¢ | $1,752 | +$1,269 +72% | 9 |
| 78d | 0xda39…c640 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder46¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$1,723 +117% | 9 |
| 81d | Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay | BuyBruno Lopes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Bruno Lopes" if Bruno Lopes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Diyar Nurgozhay at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Diyar Nurgozhay" if Diyar Nurgozhay is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay means the market gives it about 0%.