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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luna to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +77 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mitchell to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139d | harizma | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | SellBryce Mitchell>99¢ | $1,934 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 139d | tosajangno12 fills | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | SellBryce Mitchell97¢ → 100¢ | $8,476 | −$230 −2.7% | — |
| 139d | evanng | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | SellBryce Mitchell>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 139d | Wordy-Littleneck | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | SellBryce Mitchell>99¢ | $26,195 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 139d |  sleepy-panda | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell>99¢ | $10,905 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 139d | 6yuyurrg | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | SellBryce Mitchell>99¢ | $7,207 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 139d | Joyful-LotionNew account | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | SellBryce Mitchell99¢ → 100¢ | $12,261 | −$124 −1.0% | — |
| 139d | freedl21 | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | SellBryce Mitchell99¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 139d |  Midrunner | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver99¢ → 100¢ | $4,432 | +$45 +1.0% | 4 |
| 139d |  0xLoneStar | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell99¢ → 100¢ | $14,850 | +$150 +1.0% | 4 |
| 139d | Substantial-Service | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell99¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 139d | generalVR2 fills | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell99¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | +$60 +1.0% | 4 |
| 139d | Unaware-Accent | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | SellBryce Mitchell98¢ → 100¢ | $4,158 | −$85 −2.0% | — |
| 139d |  penguinx | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuySantiago Luna9¢ → 0¢ | $2,187 | −$2,187 −100% | 14 |
| 139d |  4751346 | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | SellBryce Mitchell91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | −$180 −9.9% | — |
| 139d | 4751346 | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell87¢ → 100¢ | $4,334 | +$666 +15% | 8 |
| 139d | harizma | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell93¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$135 +7.5% | 6 |
| 139d | neutralwave23 | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell95¢ → 100¢ | $3,511 | +$184 +5.2% | 6 |
| 139d | mishipolis | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell76¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$336 +32% | 12 |
| 139d | Substantial-Service | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuySantiago Luna25¢ → 0¢ | $3,049 | −$3,049 −100% | 14 |
| 139d | Wordy-Littleneck | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell73¢ → 100¢ | $6,495 | +$2,402 +37% | 13 |
| 139d | lluucckkyy | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuySantiago Luna46¢ → 0¢ | $4,600 | −$4,600 −100% | 14 |
| 139d | Sassy-Bucket6 fills | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell54¢ → 100¢ | $203,677 | +$173K +85% | 14 |
| 139d | Joyful-LotionNew account | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell55¢ → 100¢ | $6,795 | +$5,559 +82% | 23 |
| 139d | surfandturf | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell54¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | +$1,866 +85% | 14 |
| 139d |  Paracellus | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuySantiago Luna47¢ → 0¢ | $5,711 | −$5,711 −100% | 14 |
| 139d |  hanbetscap | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuySantiago Luna47¢ → 0¢ | $1,880 | −$1,880 −100% | 14 |
| 139d | Unaware-Accent | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell54¢ → 100¢ | $2,291 | +$1,952 +85% | 14 |
| 139d | VPenguin2 fills | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuySantiago Luna46¢ → 0¢ | $18,784 | −$18,784 −100% | 14 |
| 139d | VPenguin | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | SellBryce Mitchell54¢ → 100¢ | $7,939 | −$6,763 −85% | — |
| 139d |  berboche2 fills | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell54¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$3,444 +86% | 12 |
| 139d | VPenguin | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell53¢ → 100¢ | $7,363 | +$6,529 +89% | 14 |
| 139d |  obamason | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell53¢ → 100¢ | $5,035 | +$4,465 +89% | 14 |
| 139d | Chewinggums | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuySantiago Luna48¢ → 0¢ | $1,242 | −$1,242 −100% | 14 |
| 139d | gysh.qs | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuySantiago Luna48¢ → 0¢ | $9,824 | −$9,824 −100% | 14 |
| 139d | berboche | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | SellBryce Mitchell52¢ → 100¢ | $2,944 | −$2,716 −92% | — |
| 139d | PMM888 | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell54¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | +$1,144 +87% | 12 |
| 139d | Obilic | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell53¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$893 +89% | 12 |
| 140d | tosajangno1 | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell53¢ → 100¢ | $4,887 | +$4,334 +89% | 12 |
| 140d | Talvez10 | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuySantiago Luna46¢ → 0¢ | $10,497 | −$10,497 −100% | 9 |
| 140d | ve3693 | Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna | BuyBryce Mitchell55¢ → 100¢ | $3,399 | +$2,781 +82% | 9 |
temafloram25,059 sharespenguinx24,311 shares
Anjun18,888 sharesParacellus12,150 shares
stillachance9,298 shares
reaidyjetedeteste4,303 sharesThis market will resolve to "Bryce Mitchell" if Bryce Mitchell is officially declared the winner of the fight against Santiago Luna at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Santiago Luna" if Santiago Luna is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna means the market gives it about 100%.