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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guaylupo in Round 3 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Guaylupo to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +59 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Connor to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Connor in Round 3 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Connor in Round 1 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +38 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 100% | +48 pts | — | 92¢ · 100¢ (8¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Connor in Round 2 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Guaylupo in Round 1 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Guaylupo in Round 2 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 100% | +45 pts | — | 89¢ · 100¢ (11¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d | NXYD | Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo | BuyPiero Guaylupo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,581 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 31d |  3648393489047 | Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo | BuyPiero Guaylupo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,748 | +$1,016 +37% | 13 |
| 31d | Substantial-Service | Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo | BuyCallum Connor26¢ → 0¢ | $1,573 | −$1,573 −100% | 14 |
| 31d |  binkybarnes55 | Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo | BuyCallum Connor48¢ → 0¢ | $2,664 | −$2,664 −100% | 14 |
| 31d | Carefree-Quarter | Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo | BuyCallum Connor51¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 31d |  njch.las | Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo | BuyPiero Guaylupo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | +$1,423 +100% | 12 |
| 31d | omnibus-076daa | Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo | BuyPiero Guaylupo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$1,380 +100% | 12 |
| 31d | Neat-Brushfire | Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo | BuyPiero Guaylupo50¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$4,500 +100% | 12 |
GeepaP2,000 shares
Socialista600 shares
Phiii5 sharesThis market will resolve to "Callum Connor" if Callum Connor is officially declared the winner of the fight against Piero Guaylupo at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Piero Guaylupo" if Piero Guaylupo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo means the market gives it about 0%.