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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura | 100% | +32 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −63 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −67 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O'Neill in Round 3 | 0% | −8 pts | −49 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O'Neill to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −13 pts | −48 pts | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +63 pts | +41 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +79 pts | +48 pts | 96¢ · 100¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −15 pts | −48 pts | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| O'Neill in Round 2 | 0% | +2 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −77 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moura to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −3 pts | −48 pts | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −62 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +8 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +81 pts | +48 pts | 94¢ · 100¢ (6¢) | — | ended |
| O'Neill in Round 1 | 100% | +82 pts | +42 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Moura in Round 1 | 0% | +3 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Moura in Round 2 | 0% | +4 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Moura in Round 3 | 0% | +43 pts | −2 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −53 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34d | Strange-Apprehension | Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura | SellCasey ONeill99¢ | $2,133 | — | — |
| 34d |  thebluegem | Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura | BuyCasey ONeill98¢ | $1,033 | — | 5 |
| 34d | Substantial-Service | Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura | BuyCasey ONeill56¢ | $8,165 | — | 14 |
| 34d | Sassy-Bucket | Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura | BuyEduarda Moura34¢ → 0¢ | $8,794 | −$8,794 −100% | 14 |
| 34d | sts22 | Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura | BuyCasey ONeill67¢ | $3,350 | — | 12 |
| 34d |  Flipadelphia | Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura | BuyEduarda Moura33¢ → 0¢ | $3,300 | −$3,300 −100% | 12 |
| 34d | ForMyFamily1 | Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura | BuyCasey ONeill68¢ | $2,000 | — | 12 |
| 36d | Strange-Apprehension | Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura | BuyCasey ONeill69¢ | $1,480 | — | 9 |
| 37d | ox1star84 | Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura | BuyCasey ONeill68¢ | $3,060 | — | 6 |
47513462,670 shares
billy5781,765 shares
ScientificOctopus1,307 sharesThis market will resolve to "Casey O'Neill" if Casey O'Neill is officially declared the winner of the fight against Eduarda Moura at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Eduarda Moura" if Eduarda Moura is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura means the market gives it about 100%.