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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O'Neill to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fernandes to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209d | RipNDip | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | SellCasey ONeill>99¢ | $1,564 | — | — |
| 209d |  Cooked | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | SellCasey ONeill>99¢ | $3,037 | — | — |
| 209d | Momentumtrades | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | SellCasey ONeill>99¢ | $7,621 | — | — |
| 209d | K25tor | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | SellCasey ONeill>99¢ | $1,008 | — | — |
| 209d |  LlamaEnjoyer | O'Neill to win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$27 +2.6% | 5 |
| 209d | takeormake | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill99¢ | $10,915 | — | 4 |
| 209d | Momentumtrades | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill66¢ | $1,297 | — | 14 |
| 209d |  Nooserac2 fills | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill55¢ | $9,395 | — | 14 |
| 209d | Cooked | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill55¢ | $1,650 | — | 14 |
| 209d |  squarestylepizza | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyGabriella Fernandes48¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | joosangyoo2 fills | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyGabriella Fernandes46¢ → 0¢ | $9,294 | −$9,294 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | Jon-Anik-Fan | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill55¢ | $4,400 | — | 14 |
| 209d |  greg.the.eggg | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyGabriella Fernandes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,965 | −$1,965 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | PrvMx | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyGabriella Fernandes46¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | Handsome-Chasm | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver73¢ → 0¢ | $1,390 | −$1,390 −100% | 18 |
| 209d | SammySledge3 fills | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill53¢ | $8,608 | — | 9 |
| 209d |  VALORANTBETTOR55 | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill55¢ | $1,099 | — | 14 |
| 209d | isp2 fills | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill55¢ | $7,034 | — | 12 |
| 209d | acorp2 fills | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyGabriella Fernandes46¢ → 0¢ | $14,909 | −$14,909 −100% | 12 |
| 209d | janglinjack | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyGabriella Fernandes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 12 |
| 209d |  Painfulvoid | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyGabriella Fernandes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,198 | −$1,198 −100% | 12 |
| 209d | IAMMAXIMUS | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill54¢ | $1,200 | — | 12 |
| 210d | elkmonkey4 fills | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyGabriella Fernandes49¢ → 0¢ | $10,398 | −$10,398 −100% | 9 |
| 210d | botCryptoResilient | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | SellGabriella Fernandes47¢ → 0¢ | $5,170 | +$5,170 +100% | — |
| 210d | Portly-Derivation2 fills | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill52¢ | $4,500 | — | 9 |
| 210d | elkmonkey | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill51¢ | $1,477 | — | 9 |
| 210d |  DumplingBMF | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | SellCasey ONeill51¢ | $2,550 | — | — |
| 210d | quiteimprobable2 fills | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyCasey ONeill50¢ | $3,625 | — | 6 |
| 210d | botCryptoResilient | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyGabriella Fernandes51¢ → 0¢ | $5,594 | −$5,594 −100% | 9 |
| 211d | 4qfrankie | Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes | BuyGabriella Fernandes49¢ → 0¢ | $3,430 | −$3,430 −100% | 9 |
Painfulvoid4,895 sharessquarestylepizza4,172 sharesThis market will resolve to "Casey O'Neill" if Casey O'Neill is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gabriella Fernandes at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Gabriella Fernandes" if Gabriella Fernandes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes means the market gives it about 100%.