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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | 0% | −35 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +41 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oleksiejczuk win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −38 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +65 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −17 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −59 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Almeida win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −31 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +25 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +60 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314d | 6yuyurrg | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | SellOleksiejczuk>99¢ | $14,896 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 314d | aviato | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | SellOleksiejczuk>99¢ | $9,115 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 314d | meill | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | SellOleksiejczuk>99¢ | $1,779 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 314d |  wokql | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | SellOleksiejczuk>99¢ | $2,048 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 314d | 6yuyurrg | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | BuyOleksiejczuk97¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$53 +3.1% | 4 |
| 314d |  CalmEnough | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | BuyOleksiejczuk92¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$240 +8.7% | 4 |
| 314d | noloanplz | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | BuyAlmeida35¢ → 0¢ | $2,955 | −$2,955 −100% | 14 |
| 314d | benwyatt | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | BuyOleksiejczuk67¢ → 100¢ | $14,553 | +$7,168 +49% | 14 |
| 314d | SeriouslySirius | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | BuyAlmeida33¢ → 0¢ | $1,244 | −$1,244 −100% | 14 |
| 314d | knoxgold | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | BuyAlmeida34¢ → 0¢ | $17,374 | −$17,374 −100% | 14 |
| 314d | meill | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | BuyOleksiejczuk67¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$588 +49% | 14 |
| 314d | SammySledge | Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk | BuyOleksiejczuk66¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$1,020 +52% | 14 |
This market will resolve to "Almeida" if Cesar Almeida is officially declared the winner of the fight against Cezary Oleksiejczuk at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape, scheduled for December 13, 2025. It will resolve to "Oleksiejczuk" if Cezary Oleksiejczuk is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 27, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk means the market gives it about 0%.