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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariscal vs. Sabatini | 0% | +3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | −13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | −4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mariscal win by KO or TKO? | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Sabatini win by KO or TKO? | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight be won by submission? | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight be won by KO or TKO? | 0% | +4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | −40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | −14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 342d |  berboche | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | SellSabatini>99¢ | $1,388 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 342d |  UnfortunateSon | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | SellSabatini>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 342d | Dingwin | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | SellSabatini>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 342d | leo0770 | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | SellSabatini>99¢ | $4,182 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 342d |  middleoftheocean | Fight be won by submission? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,489 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | middleoftheocean | Mariscal win by KO or TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,338 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | middleoftheocean | Fight be won by KO or TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,890 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | middleoftheocean | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,439 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | knoxgold | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | SellSabatini>99¢ | $15,996 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 342d | dummyguesser | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | SellSabatini99¢ → 100¢ | $3,191 | −$32 −1.0% | — |
| 342d | middleoftheocean | Sabatini win by KO or TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,301 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | aviato2 fills | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | BuySabatini99¢ → 100¢ | $4,125 | +$42 +1.0% | 4 |
| 342d | rwo | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | BuySabatini99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 342d | thepunterwhopunts | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | BuyMariscal38¢ → 0¢ | $1,066 | −$1,066 −100% | 14 |
| 342d | thepunterwhopunts | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | BuySabatini60¢ → 100¢ | $8,553 | +$5,702 +67% | 14 |
| 342d | UnfortunateSon3 fills | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | BuySabatini54¢ → 100¢ | $4,935 | +$4,237 +86% | 14 |
| 342d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d089153 fills | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | BuySabatini54¢ → 100¢ | $9,698 | +$8,261 +85% | 14 |
| 342d | priyesh | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | BuyMariscal47¢ → 0¢ | $1,128 | −$1,128 −100% | 14 |
| 342d | knoxgold | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | BuySabatini53¢ → 100¢ | $3,003 | +$2,663 +89% | 14 |
| 342d | Dingwin | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder45¢ → 0¢ | $1,884 | −$1,884 −100% | 14 |
| 342d | piastri | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | BuyMariscal48¢ → 0¢ | $2,354 | −$2,354 −100% | 14 |
| 342d | thepredtooooor | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | BuySabatini53¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | +$1,106 +89% | 14 |
| 342d |  MoneyBnkz | Mariscal vs. Sabatini | BuyMariscal48¢ → 0¢ | $1,344 | −$1,344 −100% | 12 |
mafi7al8,162 shares
xfile2,968 shares
Reubz.912 sharesThis market will resolve to "Mariscal" if Chepe Mariscal is officially declared the winner of the fight against Pat Sabatini at UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev, scheduled for November 15, 2025. It will resolve to "Sabatini" if Pat Sabatini is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 29, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Mariscal vs. Sabatini means the market gives it about 0%.