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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | 50% | −10 pts | — | 50¢ · 50¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Padilla to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mederos to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195d |  WolfiesATM | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | SellChris Padilla50¢ | $4,500 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 195d | Onomatopoeia777 | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | SellChris Padilla50¢ | $10,190 | +$57 +0.6% | — |
| 195d | kevinfiederer1 | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | SellMarQuel Mederos49¢ → 50¢ | $1,178 | −$32 −2.7% | — |
| 195d | cigarettes | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | SellMarQuel Mederos48¢ → 50¢ | $1,406 | −$53 −3.7% | — |
| 195d | ArchelausButeo | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | SellChris Padilla50¢ | $8,046 | +$22 +0.3% | — |
| 195d |  DONKEYFISHBET | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | SellMarQuel Mederos48¢ → 50¢ | $1,443 | −$57 −3.9% | — |
| 195d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyChris Padilla57¢ → 50¢ | $3,338 | −$413 −12% | 14 |
| 195d | GamblingOdyssey | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyMarQuel Mederos47¢ → 50¢ | $2,249 | +$160 +7.1% | 14 |
| 195d |  Kickstand7 | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyMarQuel Mederos49¢ → 50¢ | $2,625 | +$64 +2.5% | 14 |
| 195d |  labradoodle | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | SellChris Padilla>99¢ → 50¢ | $4,033 | +$2,015 +50% | — |
| 195d | ArchelausButeo | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyChris Padilla>99¢ → 50¢ | $6,189 | −$3,091 −50% | 4 |
| 195d |  0xLoneStar | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | SellChris Padilla98¢ → 50¢ | $1,942 | +$951 +49% | — |
| 195d | epend3 fills | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyChris Padilla73¢ → 50¢ | $12,379 | −$3,904 −32% | 13 |
| 195d | 0xLoneStar | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyChris Padilla70¢ → 50¢ | $1,375 | −$393 −29% | 14 |
| 195d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | SellChris Padilla69¢ → 50¢ | $1,380 | +$380 +28% | — |
| 195d | Celebrated-Picture | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyChris Padilla75¢ → 50¢ | $1,186 | −$395 −33% | 15 |
| 195d | mudman88 | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyChris Padilla60¢ → 50¢ | $2,775 | −$462 −17% | 14 |
| 195d | Gorgeous-Witch | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyChris Padilla60¢ → 50¢ | $1,025 | −$171 −17% | 14 |
| 195d | kkookkoo | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,131 | −$1,131 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | BoggsFromShawshank | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyMarQuel Mederos40¢ → 50¢ | $9,034 | +$2,259 +25% | 14 |
| 195d | Onomatopoeia777 | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyChris Padilla60¢ → 50¢ | $6,471 | −$1,079 −17% | 14 |
| 195d | surfandturf | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyChris Padilla59¢ → 50¢ | $4,178 | −$637 −15% | 14 |
| 195d | Gaseous-Polliwog | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyMarQuel Mederos41¢ → 50¢ | $1,305 | +$286 +22% | 14 |
| 195d | isp | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyMarQuel Mederos41¢ → 50¢ | $17,577 | +$3,858 +22% | 12 |
| 195d | Testy-State | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyMarQuel Mederos41¢ → 50¢ | $989 | +$217 +22% | 12 |
| 195d | SammySledge | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyChris Padilla59¢ → 50¢ | $2,255 | −$344 −15% | 12 |
| 195d | mikesports | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyMarQuel Mederos41¢ → 50¢ | $18,086 | +$3,970 +22% | 12 |
| 195d | ic4cream | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyMarQuel Mederos41¢ → 50¢ | $1,121 | +$246 +22% | 12 |
| 195d | kevinfiederer1 | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyMarQuel Mederos41¢ → 50¢ | $974 | +$214 +22% | 12 |
| 195d | Gold.Mansacks | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyChris Padilla60¢ → 50¢ | $1,171 | −$195 −17% | 12 |
| 197d | 99problems123 | Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos | BuyMarQuel Mederos42¢ → 50¢ | $2,027 | +$386 +19% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Chris Padilla" if Chris Padilla is officially declared the winner of the fight against MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "MarQuel Mederos" if MarQuel Mederos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos means the market gives it about 50%.