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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +89 pts | — | 95¢ · 100¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Padilla to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Haqparast to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62d | 0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953 | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | SellChris Padilla>99¢ | $1,911 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | tennischamp | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | SellChris Padilla>99¢ | $6,481 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | Novelty8 | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla>99¢ | $1,094 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 62d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing4 fills | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | SellChris Padilla58¢ → 100¢ | $12,176 | −$8,823 −72% | — |
| 62d | Yawning-Chicken | Fight won by submission? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | +$84 +6.4% | 6 |
| 62d | NXYD | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | SellChris Padilla99¢ → 100¢ | $8,630 | −$87 −1.0% | — |
| 62d | 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000 | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla97¢ → 100¢ | $2,092 | +$67 +3.2% | 5 |
| 62d | sts22 | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla92¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | +$125 +9.2% | 7 |
| 62d |  Rex416 | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla59¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$730 +70% | 14 |
| 62d | Substantial-Service | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyNasrat Haqparast26¢ → 0¢ | $1,671 | −$1,671 −100% | 14 |
| 62d |  obamason2 fills | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyNasrat Haqparast33¢ → 0¢ | $2,612 | −$2,612 −100% | 14 |
| 62d | Substantial-Service | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla52¢ → 100¢ | $6,432 | +$5,937 +92% | 14 |
| 62d | Sassy-Bucket3 fills | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyNasrat Haqparast49¢ → 0¢ | $141,190 | −$141K −100% | 14 |
| 62d | tennischamp | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla52¢ → 100¢ | $3,374 | +$3,114 +92% | 14 |
| 62d | madkkee | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyNasrat Haqparast49¢ → 0¢ | $6,860 | −$6,860 −100% | 14 |
| 62d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing3 fills | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla50¢ → 100¢ | $8,008 | +$8,069 +101% | 6 |
| 62d | Gold.Mansacks | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla53¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$940 +89% | 12 |
| 62d |  errormargin3 | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla53¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,774 +89% | 12 |
| 62d | WhateverDude | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla52¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | +$1,471 +92% | 12 |
| 62d | randomniynickname | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla52¢ → 100¢ | $1,426 | +$1,317 +92% | 12 |
| 62d |  CrackAlex | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyNasrat Haqparast49¢ → 0¢ | $1,705 | −$1,705 −100% | 12 |
| 63d | deepakrego | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla52¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$960 +92% | 9 |
| 63d | rabbitfoot1 | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyChris Padilla50¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$1,512 +100% | 9 |
| 63d | 8489kjr34 | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | SellNasrat Haqparast51¢ → 0¢ | $1,516 | +$1,516 +100% | — |
| 64d | 8489kjr34 | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyNasrat Haqparast52¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 9 |
| 66d |  Flipadelphia | Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast | BuyNasrat Haqparast52¢ → 0¢ | $1,442 | −$1,442 −100% | 6 |
siick5,000 sharesCrackAlex3,480 sharesThis market will resolve to "Chris Padilla" if Chris Padilla is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nasrat Haqparast at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Nasrat Haqparast" if Nasrat Haqparast is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast means the market gives it about 100%.