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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | 0% | −37 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +36 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +40 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +15 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ochoa to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −24 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −45 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +28 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Carpenter to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −21 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −43 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167d | Massimo24 | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | SellJose Ochoa>99¢ | $4,834 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | almet | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | SellJose Ochoa>99¢ | $1,295 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | ElasticSoul | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | SellJose Ochoa>99¢ | $5,941 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | brokemaxdegen | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | SellJose Ochoa>99¢ | $26,316 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  E33xing | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | SellJose Ochoa>99¢ | $1,121 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  sleepy-panda | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa>99¢ | $9,601 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 167d | 6yuyurrg | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | SellJose Ochoa>99¢ | $3,818 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | mishipolis | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | SellJose Ochoa>99¢ | $1,578 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Momentumtrades | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | SellJose Ochoa99¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | −$100 −1.0% | — |
| 167d | takeormake | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa91¢ → 100¢ | $1,534 | +$152 +9.9% | 6 |
| 167d |  Cooked | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa85¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | +$282 +18% | 8 |
| 167d |  4751346 | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa76¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$366 +32% | 10 |
| 167d | 0x6db5…e279 | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa63¢ → 100¢ | $7,502 | +$4,398 +59% | 12 |
| 167d | Sassy-Bucket4 fills | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa62¢ → 100¢ | $86,576 | +$53,111 +61% | 12 |
| 167d | LudoPriclychenie | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa61¢ → 100¢ | $5,002 | +$3,198 +64% | 12 |
| 167d | cumulus332 fills | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyClayton Carpenter39¢ → 0¢ | $2,708 | −$2,708 −100% | 12 |
| 167d | brokemaxdegen2 fills | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa61¢ → 100¢ | $16,162 | +$10,180 +63% | 9 |
| 167d | Obilic | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa61¢ → 100¢ | $6,100 | +$3,900 +64% | 12 |
| 167d | ElasticSoul | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa62¢ → 100¢ | $3,686 | +$2,261 +61% | 12 |
| 167d |  Painfulvoid | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyClayton Carpenter37¢ → 0¢ | $3,103 | −$3,103 −100% | 12 |
| 167d | Massimo24 | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa62¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,839 +61% | 12 |
| 168d | JohnnyWins | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyClayton Carpenter38¢ → 0¢ | $1,235 | −$1,235 −100% | 9 |
| 173d |  mooseborzoi | Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa | BuyJose Ochoa63¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$610 +59% | 6 |
sunflowaa13,981 sharesPainfulvoid8,386 sharesThis market will resolve to "Clayton Carpenter" if Clayton Carpenter is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Jose Ochoa" if Jose Ochoa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa means the market gives it about 0%.