Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · Sports
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov | 16% | −1 pts | −9 pts | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | $23.6K | in 14h |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 33% | −1 pts | −17 pts | 31¢ · 35¢ (4¢) | $200 | in 14h |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 44% | +1 pts | −6 pts | 43¢ · 44¢ (1¢) | $199 | in 14h |
| Thicknesse to win by KO/TKO? | 4% | −2 pts | −46 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | $37.5 | in 14h |
| Ends before Round 2? | 31% | +1 pts | −20 pts | 28¢ · 34¢ (6¢) | — | in 14h |
| Fight won by decision? | 34% | −16 pts | −16 pts | 29¢ · 38¢ (9¢) | $2.56 | in 14h |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 37% | −14 pts | −14 pts | 32¢ · 41¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| Chopurov to win by KO/TKO? | 34% | — | −16 pts | 30¢ · 38¢ (8¢) | — | in 14h |
| Fight won by submission? | 29% | +4 pts | −21 pts | 25¢ · 33¢ (8¢) | — | in 14h |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 84% | +21 pts | +34 pts | 79¢ · 88¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 58% | +12 pts | +8 pts | 54¢ · 62¢ (8¢) | — | in 14h |
| Ends before Round 3? | 52% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 49¢ · 55¢ (6¢) | — | in 14h |
| Thicknesse in Round 1 | 4% | −2 pts | −45 pts | — · 8¢ | — | in 14h |
| Thicknesse in Round 2 | 4% | −2 pts | −46 pts | — · 7¢ | — | in 14h |
| Thicknesse in Round 3 | 4% | −32 pts | −46 pts | — · 7¢ | — | in 14h |
| Chopurov in Round 1 | 28% | +5 pts | −23 pts | 23¢ · 32¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| Chopurov in Round 2 | 19% | −20 pts | −31 pts | 14¢ · 23¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| Chopurov in Round 3 | 12% | −28 pts | −38 pts | 7¢ · 16¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| Decision or Draw | 33% | −1 pts | −16 pts | 29¢ · 37¢ (8¢) | — | in 14h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | caspar1248 | Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov | BuyAsaf Chopurov85¢ | $5,553 | −$33 −0.6% | 17 |
| 3h | EmmetBrown3rd | Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov | BuyAsaf Chopurov84¢ → 85¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 12 |
| 6h | Colorless-Spotlight | Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov | BuyColby Thicknesse17¢ → 16¢ | $1,484 | −$131 −8.8% | 17 |
VeryLucky8882,099 shares
nigiri991,254 shares
Socialista900 sharesThis market will resolve to "Colby Thicknesse" if Colby Thicknesse is officially declared the winner of the fight against Asaf Chopurov at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Asaf Chopurov" if Asaf Chopurov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 16¢ for Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov means the market gives it about 16%.