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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | 0% | −39 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +40 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −40 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +34 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barez to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −39 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gurule to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −34 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +29 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +26 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −39 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160d | qscbn | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | SellLuis Gurule>99¢ | $1,638 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 160d |  Kh4mz4t | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | SellLuis Gurule>99¢ | $2,168 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 160d |  E33xing | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | SellLuis Gurule>99¢ | $1,003 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d |  mirroredtrade-KPACM5 | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | SellLuis Gurule>99¢ | $2,367 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | harizma | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | SellLuis Gurule>99¢ | $1,045 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d |  midplays | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | SellLuis Gurule>99¢ | $1,392 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d |  DONKEYFISHBET | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | SellLuis Gurule>99¢ | $3,004 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | mishipolis | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | SellLuis Gurule>99¢ | $1,597 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 160d |  obamason | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyLuis Gurule>99¢ | $166,638 | +$167 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  wowfarm | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyLuis Gurule>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | 6yuyurrg2 fills | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyLuis Gurule95¢ → 100¢ | $11,514 | +$638 +5.5% | 5 |
| 160d | sts222 fills | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyLuis Gurule89¢ → 100¢ | $4,741 | +$606 +13% | 7 |
| 160d | VPenguin | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyLuis Gurule61¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$879 +64% | 12 |
| 160d | maxgreen | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyLuis Gurule60¢ → 100¢ | $2,580 | +$1,720 +67% | 12 |
| 160d |  Nooserac | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyLuis Gurule60¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$4,000 +67% | 12 |
| 160d | Sassy-Bucket8 fills | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyDaniel Barez42¢ → 0¢ | $281,600 | −$282K −100% | 12 |
| 160d | 05143 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder37¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | −$1,022 −100% | 12 |
| 161d | letsbetttit2 fills | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyDaniel Barez40¢ → 0¢ | $3,555 | −$3,555 −100% | 12 |
| 161d | letsbetttit | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | SellDaniel Barez39¢ → 0¢ | $1,516 | +$1,516 +100% | — |
| 161d | Axamux | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | SellLuis Gurule60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$800 −67% | — |
| 162d |  DefNotJonasTheWolf | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyDaniel Barez40¢ → 0¢ | $1,521 | −$1,521 −100% | 9 |
| 162d |  mooseborzoi3 fills | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyDaniel Barez40¢ → 0¢ | $20,145 | −$20,145 −100% | 9 |
| 162d | GambleFroth2 fills | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyDaniel Barez40¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 9 |
| 162d | Talvez10 | Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule | BuyLuis Gurule60¢ → 100¢ | $13,152 | +$8,830 +67% | 9 |
DefNotJonasTheWolf3,803 shares
yungtrappa3,500 shares
DOLLAR-PRINTER2,585 sharesThis market will resolve to "Daniel Barez" if Daniel Barez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luis Gurule at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Luis Gurule" if Luis Gurule is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule means the market gives it about 0%.