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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | 0% | −14 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −42 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Talbott to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +57 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +52 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +54 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −41 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +76 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −67 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −87 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −40 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Talbott in Round 2 | 0% | −21 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −13 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Talbott in Round 1 | 100% | +79 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Figueiredo to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Talbott in Round 3 | 0% | −19 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Figueiredo in Round 1 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Figueiredo in Round 2 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Figueiredo in Round 3 | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | Youthful-MeatNew account | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | SellPayton Talbott>99¢ | $1,645 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 20d |  ethanweng | Talbott to win by KO/TKO? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,688 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | confusedinlife | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | SellPayton Talbott>99¢ | $1,162 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | 0x4948…c785 | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | SellPayton Talbott>99¢ | $1,175 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | kutsumiakia | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | SellPayton Talbott>99¢ | $1,950 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 20d |  Midrunner | Decision or Draw | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,332 | +$139 +4.2% | 5 |
| 20d | leegunner | Talbott in Round 2 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$32 +3.1% | 5 |
| 20d | ethanweng | Talbott to win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,571 | +$118 +7.5% | 6 |
| 20d |  Rex416 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$131 +4.2% | 5 |
| 20d | Midrunner | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyUnder94¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | +$78 +6.4% | 6 |
| 20d | velvet-candle | Ends before Round 3? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,235 | +$194 +8.7% | 7 |
| 20d | Yawning-Chicken | Ends before Round 3? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,859 | +$162 +8.7% | 7 |
| 20d | curie | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | +$164 +9.9% | 7 |
| 20d |  4751346 | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyPayton Talbott91¢ → 100¢ | $1,819 | +$181 +10.0% | 7 |
| 20d | Yawning-Chicken | Ends before Round 2? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,956 | +$761 +39% | 13 |
| 20d | Substantial-Service | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyPayton Talbott84¢ → 100¢ | $2,785 | +$530 +19% | 9 |
| 20d | kutsumiakia | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyPayton Talbott85¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | +$293 +18% | 9 |
| 20d | Youthful-MeatNew account | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyPayton Talbott85¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$247 +18% | 17 |
| 20d | Substantial-Service | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyDeiveson Figueiredo15¢ → 0¢ | $9,976 | −$9,976 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | MahammadBruceLee | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyPayton Talbott86¢ → 100¢ | $2,064 | +$336 +16% | 9 |
| 20d |  siick | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | 0x2022x2 fills | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyPayton Talbott86¢ → 100¢ | $2,574 | +$419 +16% | 9 |
| 20d | Madeira99 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver71¢ → 0¢ | $1,098 | −$1,098 −100% | 14 |
| 20d |  3648393489047 | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyDeiveson Figueiredo15¢ → 0¢ | $2,332 | −$2,332 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | olddirtyfighter | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyPayton Talbott86¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$211 +16% | 9 |
| 20d | dv-pm | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyPayton Talbott86¢ → 100¢ | $4,358 | +$710 +16% | 9 |
| 20d |  Socialista | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyPayton Talbott86¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$280 +16% | 9 |
| 21d | omnibus-076daa | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | BuyPayton Talbott86¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$258 +16% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Deiveson Figueiredo" if Deiveson Figueiredo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Payton Talbott at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Payton Talbott" if Payton Talbott is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott means the market gives it about 0%.