Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · SportsClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nurgozhay to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tobias to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229d |  berboche | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SellOver>99¢ | $1,070 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | berboche | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $1,092 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | Scaly-Packet | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | olegio | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $1,114 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | GrizzliesSuck | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $2,488 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | sahurab | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $3,304 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 230d |  Cooked | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $5,608 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | JJM9 | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $1,091 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | YoshiYamamoto | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $3,560 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 230d |  B4jack | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $2,088 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | 6yuyurrg | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay>99¢ | $37,828 | −$38 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | rbsp | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay95¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | +$91 +5.3% | 6 |
| 230d | Cooked | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay93¢ → 100¢ | $2,431 | +$183 +7.5% | 6 |
| 230d | 6yuyurrg | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay95¢ → 100¢ | $1,451 | +$76 +5.3% | 6 |
| 230d | theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyRafael Tobias50¢ → 0¢ | $5,013 | −$5,013 −100% | 14 |
| 230d | itsallupnow | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyRafael Tobias60¢ → 0¢ | $1,333 | −$1,333 −100% | 14 |
| 230d | joosangyoo5 fills | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyRafael Tobias61¢ → 0¢ | $32,836 | −$32,836 −100% | 12 |
| 230d | jizzbucket57 | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay39¢ → 100¢ | $2,340 | +$3,660 +156% | 14 |
| 230d | Fuzzy-Yoga | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay38¢ → 100¢ | $2,509 | −$4,094 −163% | — |
| 230d | VPenguin | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay39¢ → 100¢ | $8,388 | −$13,119 −156% | — |
| 230d | Fuzzy-Yoga | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay40¢ → 100¢ | $2,641 | +$3,962 +150% | 14 |
| 230d |  berbisminsk | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay40¢ → 100¢ | $2,457 | +$3,685 +150% | 12 |
| 230d | KirksCousin3 fills | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay40¢ → 100¢ | $9,707 | +$14,670 +151% | 12 |
| 230d |  matanovik | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay40¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$4,951 +150% | 12 |
| 230d |  xfile | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay39¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$1,680 +156% | 12 |
| 230d |  Birck | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyRafael Tobias61¢ → 0¢ | $3,331 | −$3,331 −100% | 12 |
| 230d |  myjob | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyRafael Tobias61¢ → 0¢ | $4,998 | −$4,998 −100% | 12 |
| 230d | GamblingOdyssey | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyRafael Tobias60¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 12 |
| 230d | 0xc33a…3da33 fills | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyRafael Tobias62¢ → 0¢ | $8,500 | −$8,500 −100% | 12 |
| 230d | NoMMS111 | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyRafael Tobias62¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 12 |
| 230d | 4326147991973 fills | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay38¢ → 100¢ | $5,382 | +$8,855 +165% | 12 |
| 230d | c4c44 fills | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay38¢ → 100¢ | $11,496 | +$18,757 +163% | 12 |
| 230d | gatorr | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyRafael Tobias62¢ → 0¢ | $6,308 | −$6,308 −100% | 12 |
| 230d |  E33xing | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | SellDiyar Nurgozhay37¢ → 100¢ | $1,824 | −$3,103 −170% | — |
| 231d | E33xing | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias | BuyDiyar Nurgozhay41¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,927 +146% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Diyar Nurgozhay" if Diyar Nurgozhay is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias means the market gives it about 100%.