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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kareckaite to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tarin to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | laoli668 | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellRegina Tarin>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 236d |  E33xing | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellRegina Tarin>99¢ | $1,131 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 236d | ChompChomp888 | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellRegina Tarin>99¢ | $4,647 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 236d |  arbarbbinks | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellRegina Tarin>99¢ | $3,213 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 236d |  CanadianHulk | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellRegina Tarin>99¢ | $3,398 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 236d | magaplant | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellRegina Tarin>99¢ | $1,091 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 236d |  wokql | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellRegina Tarin>99¢ | $1,213 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 236d |  sharpmonkey | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellRegina Tarin>99¢ | $3,596 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 236d | BTCFudder | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellRegina Tarin99¢ → 100¢ | $1,631 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 236d | hollyber3 fills | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin89¢ → 100¢ | $19,303 | +$2,316 +12% | 8 |
| 236d | laoli668 | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin88¢ → 100¢ | $2,631 | +$369 +14% | 8 |
| 236d | 9sh8f4 fills | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin62¢ → 100¢ | $10,529 | +$6,573 +62% | 12 |
| 236d | arbarbbinks | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin78¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$423 +28% | 11 |
| 236d |  GeepaP | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellRegina Tarin76¢ → 100¢ | $2,034 | −$639 −31% | — |
| 236d | 6yuyurrg | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyErnesta Kareckaite51¢ → 0¢ | $1,786 | −$1,786 −100% | 12 |
| 236d | GamblingOdyssey | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin46¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$14,299 +119% | 12 |
| 236d | joosangyoo5 fills | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin45¢ → 100¢ | $7,029 | +$8,591 +122% | 12 |
| 236d | GeepaP | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin45¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$5,500 +122% | 12 |
| 236d | joosangyoo | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellErnesta Kareckaite55¢ → 0¢ | $3,504 | +$3,504 +100% | — |
| 236d | Ukki2 fills | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin44¢ → 100¢ | $4,402 | +$5,674 +129% | 12 |
| 236d |  IGBGMN | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyErnesta Kareckaite57¢ → 0¢ | $1,425 | −$1,425 −100% | 12 |
| 236d | Uncommon-Attribute | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyErnesta Kareckaite57¢ → 0¢ | $1,188 | −$1,188 −100% | 12 |
| 236d |  matanovik | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin43¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$1,961 +133% | 12 |
| 236d | matanovik | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | SellErnesta Kareckaite57¢ → 0¢ | $1,961 | +$1,961 +100% | — |
| 236d | matanovik | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyErnesta Kareckaite58¢ → 0¢ | $1,995 | −$1,995 −100% | 12 |
| 236d | ChompChomp888 | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin43¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,651 +133% | 12 |
| 236d | knoxgold | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin42¢ → 100¢ | $13,423 | +$18,536 +138% | 12 |
| 236d |  Kiko596 | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyErnesta Kareckaite59¢ → 0¢ | $1,127 | −$1,127 −100% | 12 |
| 236d | geleo | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyRegina Tarin42¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$1,507 +138% | 12 |
| 236d | fishingforprofits | Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin | BuyErnesta Kareckaite59¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 12 |
akosialex7031,024 sharesThis market will resolve to "Ernesta Kareckaite" if Ernesta Kareckaite is officially declared the winner of the fight against Regina Tarin at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Regina Tarin" if Regina Tarin is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin means the market gives it about 0%.