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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunes vs. Cháirez | 0% | — | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | +3 pts | +9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +1 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | −2 pts | −15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bunes to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | +1 pts | +5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cháirez to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | +3 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | — | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | tcp2 | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez>99¢ | $2,690 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Jdhdhduu | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez>99¢ | $49,950 | −$50 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | rbsp | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez>99¢ | $2,163 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Justluck9 | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez>99¢ | $2,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  dealin | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez>99¢ | $2,091 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Well-Documented-Velocity | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez>99¢ | $2,880 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  E33xing | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez>99¢ | $1,273 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | abouttojump | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez>99¢ | $9,980 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  sharpmonkey | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez>99¢ | $4,262 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  Judas-Priest | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez>99¢ | $2,526 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Massimo24 | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez>99¢ | $4,221 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | hollyber4 fills | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez76¢ → 100¢ | $33,724 | +$10,370 +31% | 12 |
| 237d | fishingforprofits | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez78¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$501 +28% | 11 |
| 237d | acorp | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez80¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | +$408 +26% | 11 |
| 237d | rbsp | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez76¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | +$487 +32% | 12 |
| 237d | leo07702 fills | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez70¢ → 100¢ | $7,012 | +$2,988 +43% | 14 |
| 237d | theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyBunes27¢ → 0¢ | $2,702 | −$2,702 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | gmanas2 fills | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez70¢ → 100¢ | $43,259 | +$18,528 +43% | 14 |
| 237d | Hospitable-Sneeze | Bunes vs. Cháirez | SellCháirez55¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$851 −82% | — |
| 237d | 6yuyurrg | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez73¢ → 100¢ | $11,351 | +$4,204 +37% | 13 |
| 237d | Hospitable-Sneeze | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez73¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | +$512 +37% | 13 |
| 237d | Justluck9 | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez71¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$600 +40% | 14 |
| 237d | GamblingOdyssey | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez70¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$4,284 +43% | 14 |
| 237d | Massimo24 | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez71¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,225 +41% | 14 |
| 237d | Judas-Priest | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez71¢ → 100¢ | $1,796 | +$733 +41% | 14 |
| 237d | Well-Documented-Velocity | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez71¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$434 +41% | 17 |
| 237d | CanadianGoose | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez71¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$870 +41% | 14 |
| 237d | Jdhdhduu | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez71¢ → 100¢ | $7,100 | +$2,900 +41% | 14 |
| 237d | GambleFroth2 fills | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez72¢ → 100¢ | $6,504 | +$2,517 +39% | 9 |
| 237d | Warm-Faucet | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez71¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$520 +41% | 19 |
| 237d | KirksCousin | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyBunes29¢ → 0¢ | $2,448 | −$2,448 −100% | 14 |
| 237d |  sunflowaa | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyBunes29¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | c4c45 fills | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyBunes28¢ → 0¢ | $10,408 | −$10,408 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | Striped-Refuse | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyBunes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,015 | −$1,015 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | undying | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyBunes29¢ → 0¢ | $4,350 | −$4,350 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | benwyatt | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyBunes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,996 | −$1,996 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | gamblegod | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyBunes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | −$1,022 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | SammySledge | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyBunes27¢ → 0¢ | $5,017 | −$5,017 −100% | 14 |
| 238d | heisenb3rg962 fills | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez73¢ → 100¢ | $7,141 | +$2,641 +37% | 8 |
| 238d | bromberg | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez73¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | +$612 +37% | 9 |
| 238d |  binkybarnes555 fills | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez73¢ → 100¢ | $12,144 | +$4,492 +37% | 9 |
| 238d |  user51157846579381563 | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez73¢ → 100¢ | $5,475 | +$2,025 +37% | 9 |
| 238d |  TheOneto3 | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez73¢ → 100¢ | $13,140 | +$4,860 +37% | 9 |
| 238d |  DefNotJonasTheWolf | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez73¢ → 100¢ | $5,406 | +$1,999 +37% | 9 |
| 238d |  Painfulvoid2 fills | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez73¢ → 100¢ | $14,473 | +$5,353 +37% | 9 |
| 238d | Slow-Sauce | Bunes vs. Cháirez | BuyCháirez73¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | +$506 +37% | 9 |
sunflowaa10,344 sharesThis market will resolve to "Bunes" if Felipe Bunes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Édgar Cháirez at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Cháirez" if Édgar Cháirez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Bunes vs. Cháirez means the market gives it about 0%.