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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall vs. Silva | 100% | +2 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −4 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marshall to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | +4 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | +4 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −4 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | +1 pts | +4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | −2 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Silva to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −2 pts | +21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | Massimo24 | Marshall vs. Silva | SellMarshall>99¢ | $3,413 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | GamblingOdyssey2 fills | Marshall vs. Silva | SellMarshall>99¢ | $19,521 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Thirstywhalee | Marshall vs. Silva | SellMarshall>99¢ | $2,011 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  labradoodle | Marshall vs. Silva | SellMarshall>99¢ | $2,517 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  sharpmonkey | Marshall vs. Silva | SellMarshall>99¢ | $2,721 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | leegunner | Marshall to win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | +$602 +37% | 11 |
| 237d | 9sh8f | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder43¢ → 100¢ | $2,601 | +$3,449 +133% | 12 |
| 237d | joosangyoo | Marshall vs. Silva | BuyMarshall87¢ → 100¢ | $2,436 | +$364 +15% | 7 |
| 237d |  samo27 | Marshall vs. Silva | BuyMarshall87¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | +$218 +15% | 7 |
| 237d |  sleepy-panda2 fills | Marshall vs. Silva | BuyMarshall87¢ → 100¢ | $4,350 | +$650 +15% | 7 |
| 237d | GamblingOdyssey | Marshall vs. Silva | BuyMarshall87¢ → 100¢ | $17,000 | +$2,540 +15% | 7 |
| 237d | labradoodle | Marshall vs. Silva | BuyMarshall87¢ → 100¢ | $2,192 | +$328 +15% | 7 |
| 237d | CanadianGoose2 fills | Marshall vs. Silva | BuyMarshall87¢ → 100¢ | $21,750 | +$3,250 +15% | 7 |
| 237d |  Nooserac | Marshall vs. Silva | BuyMarshall87¢ → 100¢ | $8,700 | +$1,300 +15% | 7 |
| 237d | sharpmonkey | Marshall vs. Silva | BuyMarshall87¢ → 100¢ | $2,370 | +$354 +15% | 7 |
| 237d | Massimo24 | Marshall vs. Silva | BuyMarshall88¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$417 +14% | 7 |
| 243d | Staid-Label | Marshall vs. Silva | BuyMarshall84¢ → 100¢ | $7,591 | +$1,491 +20% | 5 |
Maubdib200 shares
P42K120 sharesThis market will resolve to "Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erik Silva at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Silva" if Erik Silva is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Marshall vs. Silva means the market gives it about 100%.