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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | in 8d |
| Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | $77.8 | in 8d |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Bolaños to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Marshall to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +2 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Fight won by decision? | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Bolaños in Round 1 | 50% | +1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Bolaños in Round 2 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Bolaños in Round 3 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Marshall in Round 1 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Marshall in Round 2 | 50% | +1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Marshall in Round 3 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Decision or Draw | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | Busy-First | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver51¢ → 50¢ | $3,060 | −$60 −2.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Gaston Bolaños" if Gaston Bolaños is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for O/U 0.5 Rounds means the market gives it about 50%.