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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | 0% | −64 pts | −64 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −19 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −42 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Neal to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −56 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −73 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Medic to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +73 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −23 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −11 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +28 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244d | Well-Documented-Velocity | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | SellUros Medic>99¢ | $3,402 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | Sharpyyy | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | SellUros Medic>99¢ | $54,426 | −$54 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | CaballoParaguallo | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | SellUros Medic>99¢ | $4,281 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | sportmaster2e | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | SellUros Medic>99¢ | $15,584 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | SellUros Medic>99¢ | $2,708 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | sharpKING | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | SellUros Medic>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 244d |  hanbetscap | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | SellUros Medic>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | borntoolate.eth | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic89¢ → 100¢ | $3,521 | +$419 +12% | 8 |
| 244d | gmanas | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic36¢ → 100¢ | $7,132 | +$12,678 +178% | 14 |
| 244d | sportmaster2e | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic36¢ → 100¢ | $5,616 | +$9,984 +178% | 14 |
| 244d | Sharpyyy2 fills | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic36¢ → 100¢ | $14,400 | +$25,600 +178% | 14 |
| 244d |  UnfortunateSon2 fills | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal65¢ → 0¢ | $4,399 | −$4,399 −100% | 14 |
| 244d | joosangyoo2 fills | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic34¢ → 100¢ | $24,700 | +$47,300 +191% | 14 |
| 244d | GamblingOdyssey2 fills | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $11,427 | +$21,222 +186% | 14 |
| 244d | oudine2 | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$2,600 +186% | 14 |
| 244d | CaballoParaguallo | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$2,786 +186% | 14 |
| 244d | Obilic | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$1,950 +186% | 14 |
| 244d | WYNNERBACC | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$5,200 +186% | 14 |
| 244d |  DONKEYFISHBET | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$1,950 +186% | 14 |
| 244d | FallenMan | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal66¢ → 0¢ | $3,300 | −$3,300 −100% | 14 |
| 244d | c4c44 fills | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $13,747 | +$25,983 +189% | 14 |
| 244d | Well-Documented-Velocity | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$2,213 +186% | 17 |
| 244d | igetlitty | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal66¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 14 |
| 244d | KirksCousin5 fills | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $14,484 | +$26,902 +186% | 12 |
| 244d | knoxgold | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $36,220 | +$67,266 +186% | 14 |
| 244d | Saivestor | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal66¢ → 0¢ | $3,300 | −$3,300 −100% | 14 |
| 244d | Notsolidgett | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal66¢ → 0¢ | $3,720 | −$3,720 −100% | 12 |
| 244d | Staid-Label | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal65¢ → 0¢ | $1,486 | −$1,486 −100% | 12 |
| 244d | almet | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal65¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 12 |
| 244d | Dingwin | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$6,500 +186% | 12 |
| 244d | ChompChomp888 | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic35¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$1,866 +186% | 12 |
| 245d | Portly-Derivation | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyUros Medic36¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$3,911 +178% | 18 |
| 245d | phonesculptor | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal65¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 12 |
| 245d |  Jargs | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal65¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 12 |
| 245d |  mczippo | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal65¢ → 0¢ | $1,756 | −$1,756 −100% | 12 |
| 245d | SocialStag3653 | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal65¢ → 0¢ | $3,745 | −$3,745 −100% | 9 |
| 245d | GetaLife | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal65¢ → 0¢ | $1,055 | −$1,055 −100% | 9 |
| 245d |  ComingBack | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal65¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 9 |
| 246d | CleverTuna1613 | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal64¢ → 0¢ | $3,922 | −$3,922 −100% | 9 |
| 248d | brokemaxdegen2 fills | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal66¢ → 0¢ | $3,589 | −$3,589 −100% | 6 |
| 249d |  IGBGMN2 fills | Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic | BuyGeoff Neal63¢ → 0¢ | $2,766 | −$2,766 −100% | 6 |
mczippo2,702 shares
Avarice311,179 sharesThis market will resolve to "Geoff Neal" if Geoff Neal is officially declared the winner of the fight against Uros Medic at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Uros Medic" if Uros Medic is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic means the market gives it about 0%.