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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fight be won by submission? | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Meerschaert vs. Daukaus | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight be won by KO or TKO? | 0% | +4 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Meerschaert win by KO or TKO? | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daukaus win by KO or TKO? | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 342d |  ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER | Meerschaert vs. Daukaus | SellDaukaus>99¢ | $2,048 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 342d | rwo | Daukaus win by KO or TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,275 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | rwo | Fight be won by submission? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,422 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d |  UnfortunateSon | Meerschaert vs. Daukaus | SellDaukaus>99¢ | $6,638 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 342d | rwo | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $2,176 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d |  Allinnothing | Fight be won by KO or TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,446 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | GuyInCognito | Meerschaert vs. Daukaus | SellDaukaus>99¢ | $1,542 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 342d | 6yuyurrg | Meerschaert vs. Daukaus | SellDaukaus>99¢ | $1,465 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 342d |  middleoftheocean2 fills | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyUnder99¢ → 100¢ | $6,184 | +$51 +0.8% | 4 |
| 342d | middleoftheocean | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,232 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | rwo | Fight be won by KO or TKO? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | +$80 +2.0% | 5 |
| 342d | middleoftheocean | Meerschaert win by KO or TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER | Meerschaert vs. Daukaus | BuyDaukaus82¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | +$369 +22% | 10 |
| 342d | 0x3a61…b560 | Meerschaert vs. Daukaus | BuyDaukaus81¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$398 +23% | 10 |
| 342d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d089152 fills | Meerschaert vs. Daukaus | BuyDaukaus81¢ → 100¢ | $2,786 | +$640 +23% | 10 |
| 342d | UnfortunateSon2 fills | Meerschaert vs. Daukaus | BuyDaukaus81¢ → 100¢ | $5,405 | +$1,240 +23% | 10 |
| 342d | Flashy-Building2 fills | Meerschaert vs. Daukaus | BuyDaukaus82¢ → 100¢ | $26,035 | +$5,812 +22% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Meerschaert" if Gerald Meerschaert is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kyle Daukaus at UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev, scheduled for November 15, 2025. It will resolve to "Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 29, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fight be won by submission? means the market gives it about 100%.