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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson vs. Torres | 0% | +3 pts | +8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dawson win by KO/TKO? | 0% | +37 pts | +36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | +1 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | +29 pts | +7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Torres win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +19 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | +9 pts | +9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | — | +14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +11 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −27 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320d | borntoolate.eth | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,217 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | 6yuyurrg | Dawson vs. Torres | SellTorres>99¢ | $17,825 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | Username...... | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,409 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | Username...... | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,221 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | borntoolate.eth | Torres win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,141 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | arntion | Dawson vs. Torres | SellTorres>99¢ | $1,611 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | Dawson vs. Torres | SellTorres>99¢ | $1,122 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 320d | sidekicks | Dawson vs. Torres | SellTorres99¢ → 100¢ | $2,964 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 320d | Dawson win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,794 | +$38 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 320d | 6yuyurrg2 fills | Dawson vs. Torres | BuyTorres47¢ → 100¢ | $5,432 | +$6,069 +112% | 14 |
| 320d | 0x3a61…b560 | Dawson vs. Torres | BuyTorres68¢ → 100¢ | $1,934 | +$897 +46% | 14 |
| 320d | Dawson vs. Torres | BuyDawson62¢ → 0¢ | $1,023 | −$1,023 −100% | 14 | |
| 320d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d08915 | Dawson vs. Torres | BuyDawson70¢ → 0¢ | $2,908 | −$2,908 −100% | 14 |
| 320d | HypeManAlex | Dawson vs. Torres | BuyDawson70¢ → 0¢ | $1,942 | −$1,942 −100% | 14 |
| 320d | Dawson vs. Torres | BuyDawson71¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 | |
| 320d | thepunterwhopunts | Dawson vs. Torres | BuyTorres30¢ → 100¢ | $2,228 | +$5,198 +233% | 14 |
| 320d | Sharpyyy | Dawson vs. Torres | BuyDawson72¢ → 0¢ | $14,400 | −$14,400 −100% | 13 |
| 320d | piastri | Dawson vs. Torres | BuyDawson71¢ → 0¢ | $1,967 | −$1,967 −100% | 14 |
| 320d | SammySledge2 fills | Dawson vs. Torres | BuyTorres30¢ → 100¢ | $3,069 | +$7,162 +233% | 12 |
| 320d | xt6uyuiguic | Dawson vs. Torres | BuyDawson71¢ → 0¢ | $2,450 | −$2,450 −100% | 14 |
This market will resolve to "Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manuel Torres at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Torres" if Manuel Torres is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Dawson vs. Torres means the market gives it about 0%.