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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | 100% | +43 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +43 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rebecki to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −46 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +85 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dawson to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −47 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −37 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +35 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +21 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167d | Roulette1 | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson>99¢ | $8,381 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | pahan2001 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | SellOver>99¢ | $1,590 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | HowieRatner | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson>99¢ | $2,563 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | bondfolio | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson>99¢ | $2,958 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  thebluegem | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson>99¢ | $23,976 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  labradoodle | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson>99¢ | $1,648 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | harizma | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson>99¢ | $2,994 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  alpheclabs | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson>99¢ | $2,140 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | ccable | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson>99¢ | $2,595 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | 2800freebz | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson>99¢ | $2,629 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  12monkeys | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson>99¢ | $1,011 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | thebluegem | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson99¢ → 100¢ | $2,963 | +$37 +1.3% | 4 |
| 167d | Elderly-Crossstitch | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson95¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | −$94 −5.8% | — |
| 167d | 0x6db5…e279 | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki57¢ → 0¢ | $5,128 | −$5,128 −100% | 14 |
| 167d | ccable | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson45¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$1,424 +121% | 14 |
| 167d | Momentumtrades | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki54¢ → 0¢ | $4,283 | −$4,283 −100% | 14 |
| 167d | bondfolio | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson35¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$1,925 +186% | 14 |
| 167d | abouttojump | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson35¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$1,950 +186% | 14 |
| 167d | 6yuyurrg | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki67¢ → 0¢ | $2,571 | −$2,571 −100% | 14 |
| 167d |  4751346 | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki63¢ → 0¢ | $1,106 | −$1,106 −100% | 14 |
| 167d | 4751346 | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson62¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | −$701 −60% | — |
| 167d | Roulette1 | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson72¢ → 100¢ | $5,477 | +$2,130 +39% | 13 |
| 167d | 2800freebz2 fills | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson91¢ → 100¢ | $2,292 | +$220 +9.6% | 7 |
| 167d | Elderly-Crossstitch | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson91¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$120 +10% | 7 |
| 167d | takeormake | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson91¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$190 +10% | 7 |
| 167d | MadeiraIsland | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson79¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | −$358 −27% | — |
| 167d | Sassy-Bucket22 fills | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson58¢ → 100¢ | $366,591 | +$263K +72% | 12 |
| 167d | Smallbett | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson58¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,810 +72% | 14 |
| 167d | FullPicks1 | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki43¢ → 0¢ | $9,000 | −$9,000 −100% | 14 |
| 167d | kingdomofheaven | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki43¢ → 0¢ | $2,021 | −$2,021 −100% | 14 |
| 167d | GamblingOdyssey | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki42¢ → 0¢ | $3,119 | −$3,119 −100% | 14 |
| 167d | WYNNERBACC | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki42¢ → 0¢ | $1,896 | −$1,896 −100% | 14 |
| 167d | pahan20012 fills | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver55¢ → 100¢ | $3,424 | +$2,748 +80% | 14 |
| 167d | ElasticSoul | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki42¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 167d |  sunflowaa | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki42¢ → 0¢ | $11,577 | −$11,577 −100% | 14 |
| 167d | cumulus33 | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson58¢ → 100¢ | $2,320 | +$1,680 +72% | 12 |
| 167d | Wannac | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki42¢ → 0¢ | $8,460 | −$8,460 −100% | 12 |
| 167d | christianox | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki44¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 12 |
| 167d |  ponczyk | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellMateusz Rebecki43¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | +$1,360 +100% | — |
| 167d | Talvez10 | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson55¢ → 100¢ | $11,132 | +$9,108 +82% | 12 |
| 167d | GambleFroth | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson55¢ → 100¢ | $2,520 | +$2,062 +82% | 12 |
| 167d |  CryptoScam2 fills | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson55¢ → 100¢ | $17,151 | −$13,770 −80% | — |
| 167d |  lankysco | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | SellGrant Dawson56¢ → 100¢ | $2,680 | −$2,106 −79% | — |
| 168d | gannonallison | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$860 +75% | 9 |
| 168d | 05143 | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyMateusz Rebecki41¢ → 0¢ | $33,638 | −$33,638 −100% | 9 |
| 171d | lpcapital14 fills | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson61¢ → 100¢ | $8,998 | +$5,838 +65% | 6 |
| 172d |  Painfulvoid | Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki | BuyGrant Dawson61¢ → 100¢ | $2,987 | +$1,910 +64% | 6 |
sunflowaa60,000 shares
Anjun18,888 sharesThis market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Mateusz Rebecki" if Mateusz Rebecki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki means the market gives it about 100%.