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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cejudo vs. Talbott | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +6 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +1 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Talbott win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −3 pts | +3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | −4 pts | −1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | −27 pts | −24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | +7 pts | +7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | +12 pts | +14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cejudo win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −5 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320d | fyse | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | 2800freebz | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott>99¢ | $1,027 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | 0x6352…6726 | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott>99¢ | $2,678 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Talbott win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,593 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | thegoatofgoat | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott>99¢ | $1,213 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | Username...... | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,243 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | Username...... | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,063 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | 6yuyurrg | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott>99¢ | $37,247 | −$37 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | CashKingg | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott>99¢ | $1,524 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 320d |  wokql2 fills | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott>99¢ | $3,352 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | saithama | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott>99¢ | $5,707 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | SatoshiNakamotoo95 | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 320d |  polmarketbeggar | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott>99¢ | $3,211 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 320d |  DimasXT | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $2,342 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | youandme94 | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 320d | 6kkandrew1 | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott99¢ → 100¢ | $7,068 | −$71 −1.0% | — |
| 320d | HypeManAlex | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott99¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 320d | 6yuyurrg2 fills | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott92¢ → 100¢ | $6,607 | +$592 +9.0% | 7 |
| 320d | curie2 fills | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott92¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$200 +8.7% | 7 |
| 320d | latinalover | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott93¢ → 100¢ | $3,464 | −$253 −7.3% | — |
| 320d | wokql | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott94¢ → 100¢ | $2,615 | +$167 +6.4% | 6 |
| 320d | gmanas | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $11,889 | +$5,095 +43% | 14 |
| 320d | noloanplz | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyCejudo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,118 | −$1,118 −100% | 14 |
| 320d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$600 +43% | 14 |
| 320d | dakaiyunzhaofu | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$900 +43% | 14 |
| 320d | HypeManAlex | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$450 +43% | 14 |
| 320d | WYNNERBACC | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$667 +43% | 14 |
| 320d | tom101 | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$643 +43% | 14 |
| 320d | polmarketbeggar | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$964 +43% | 14 |
| 320d | TheCheatCode | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $1,890 | +$810 +43% | 14 |
| 320d | saithama2 fills | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $3,999 | +$1,714 +43% | 14 |
| 320d | youandme94 | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$450 +43% | 14 |
| 320d | lebronjames23 | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyCejudo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 14 |
| 320d | latinalover | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,143 +43% | 14 |
| 320d | 0x6352…6726 | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott69¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$831 +45% | 14 |
| 320d | SammySledge | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyCejudo31¢ → 0¢ | $2,268 | −$2,268 −100% | 14 |
| 320d | gallyambo | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyCejudo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,292 | −$1,292 −100% | 12 |
| 321d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d08915 | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyCejudo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,756 | −$1,756 −100% | 12 |
| 321d | 6kkandrew1 | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $4,997 | +$2,142 +43% | 12 |
| 321d | Momentumtrades | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $12,600 | +$5,400 +43% | 12 |
| 321d | technician2 | Cejudo vs. Talbott | SellTalbott68¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$505 −47% | — |
| 321d | Vetch | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott68¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | +$811 +47% | 12 |
| 322d | kogwar | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyCejudo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,922 | −$1,922 −100% | 9 |
| 324d | heisenb3rg962 fills | Cejudo vs. Talbott | BuyTalbott70¢ → 100¢ | $2,545 | +$1,097 +43% | 6 |
OuchMyBalls2,893 sharesThis market will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Payton Talbott at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Talbott" if Payton Talbott is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Cejudo vs. Talbott means the market gives it about 0%.