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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guillon to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hernandez to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hernandez in Round 2 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Guillon in Round 1 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Guillon in Round 2 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Guillon in Round 3 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hernandez in Round 1 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hernandez in Round 3 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38d | Complicated-Chassis | Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez | SellLuis Hernandez>99¢ | $2,071 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 38d | ForMyFamily1 | Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez | BuyHugo Guillon61¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 12 |
GeepaP896 sharesThis market will resolve to "Hugo Guillon" if Hugo Guillon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luis Hernandez at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 6, scheduled for September 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Luis Hernandez" if Luis Hernandez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez means the market gives it about 0%.