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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | 100% | +25 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +45 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Machado Garry to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −8 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 100% | +41 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −35 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Makhachev to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −6 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −17 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +6 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +27 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 100% | +36 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +15 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69d | UFC33001 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $2,817 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | lordDraugr69 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $5,739 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | macanga | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $1,297 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | FacelessGod | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $4,699 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | LudoGar | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $11,780 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 69d |  TennisLove | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $172,099 | −$172 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | SobakaBautrisa | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $3,323 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | copicoyyy | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $1,350 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | Relieved-Classification | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $2,884 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | 0x4948…c785 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $19,099 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | Live-Hacksaw2 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev95¢ → 100¢ | $13,603 | −$693 −5.1% | — |
| 69d | 0x8a2c…3c32 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $4,320 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | Skinny-Printer | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $1,232 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | DLplmk2 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev95¢ → 100¢ | $7,661 | −$388 −5.1% | — |
| 69d | Mekhididdy | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $20,578 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | vip-kazah | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $4,602 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | neutralwave232 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev90¢ → 100¢ | $11,101 | −$1,269 −11% | — |
| 69d | 0x4bf8…f576 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $1,304 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 69d |  Vladooos | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $17,759 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 69d |  Early-Silly | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $1,450 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | masterkopeek | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $3,466 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | STC14 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | 0x0f34…7684 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $12,590 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | maxdip | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $351,453 | −$352 −0.1% | — |
| 69d |  digitalnomad85 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $10,125 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | Laf77 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $4,050 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | Zenhack | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $15,029 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 69d |  Zaykeezybets | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $2,233 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | i.i.ilo | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $2,698 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 69d |  LarryDaddy | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $32,137 | −$32 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | kingb25 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $5,404 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | moon-k58-lad | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev>99¢ | $4,419 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | Flawed-Trance5 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev95¢ → 100¢ | $10,847 | +$614 +5.7% | 6 |
| 69d | takeormake | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,803 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 69d |  Bigmato410 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev98¢ → 100¢ | $1,765 | −$36 −2.0% | — |
| 69d | blket | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev98¢ → 100¢ | $3,946 | −$81 −2.0% | — |
| 69d | roneasy | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev98¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | −$36 −2.0% | — |
| 69d |  Rex416 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 69d | Decisive-Cheek | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 69d | Sinaro37 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev98¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$24 +1.8% | 4 |
| 69d |  VoidEclipse | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev98¢ → 100¢ | $3,695 | +$75 +2.0% | 4 |
| 69d | gaclfz4 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev88¢ → 100¢ | $7,267 | +$958 +13% | 8 |
| 69d | 0xzaky | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev97¢ → 100¢ | $4,780 | −$148 −3.1% | — |
| 69d | waduh2 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev93¢ → 100¢ | $12,363 | −$967 −7.8% | — |
| 69d | user9211232 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev96¢ → 100¢ | $2,710 | +$98 +3.6% | 4 |
| 69d | VoidEclipse | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | SellIslam Makhachev91¢ → 100¢ | $2,548 | −$252 −9.9% | — |
| 69d | NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO2 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev80¢ → 100¢ | $6,369 | +$1,581 +25% | 4 |
| 69d | DLplmk3 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev89¢ → 100¢ | $7,094 | +$909 +13% | 8 |
| 69d | Yawning-Chicken2 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev88¢ → 100¢ | $2,464 | +$336 +14% | 4 |
| 69d | Zaykeezybets | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev85¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$335 +18% | 4 |
| 69d |  Midrunner | O/U 4.5 Rounds | BuyOver99¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 69d | rocker6 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev72¢ → 100¢ | $30,000 | +$11,847 +39% | 4 |
| 69d | takeormake3 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIan Machado Garry32¢ → 0¢ | $8,469 | −$8,469 −100% | 4 |
| 69d | Substantial-Service | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIan Machado Garry23¢ → 0¢ | $1,782 | −$1,782 −100% | 4 |
| 69d | 0x6db5…e2793 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev87¢ → 100¢ | $10,138 | +$1,561 +15% | 8 |
| 69d | Bigmato410 | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev72¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$501 +39% | 4 |
| 69d | neutralwave232 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIan Machado Garry29¢ → 0¢ | $4,895 | −$4,895 −100% | 14 |
| 69d | Mekhididdy2 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev73¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$5,599 +37% | 13 |
| 69d | GarlickDemon | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev70¢ → 100¢ | $2,342 | +$1,004 +43% | 4 |
| 69d | sbsigner5 fills | Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry | BuyIslam Makhachev73¢ → 100¢ | $16,399 | +$6,098 +37% | 13 |
This market will resolve to "Islam Makhachev" if Islam Makhachev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Ian Machado Garry" if Ian Machado Garry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry means the market gives it about 100%.