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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naurdiev vs. Loder | 100% | −5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Loder win by KO/TKO? | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Naurdiev win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · 50¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −66 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 335d | MAGA.ONE | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,615 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d | MAGA.ONE | Loder win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,501 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d | WYNNERBACC | Naurdiev vs. Loder | SellNaurdiev>99¢ | $10,888 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 335d |  4751346 | Naurdiev vs. Loder | SellNaurdiev>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 335d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Naurdiev vs. Loder | BuyNaurdiev>99¢ | $1,106 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 336d | zxc368 | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,085 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 336d | zxc368 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,632 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 336d | 6yuyurrg | Naurdiev vs. Loder | SellNaurdiev>99¢ | $18,008 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 336d | LlamaEnjoyer | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder57¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$761 +75% | 12 |
| 336d | LlamaEnjoyer | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 8 |
| 336d | LlamaEnjoyer | Loder win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$400 +25% | 9 |
| 336d | Dingwin | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$880 +79% | 12 |
| 336d | Dingwin | Naurdiev vs. Loder | BuyLoder46¢ → 0¢ | $2,300 | −$2,300 −100% | 12 |
| 336d | Amazing-Hovel | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$860 +75% | 12 |
| 336d | C63AMG | Naurdiev vs. Loder | BuyNaurdiev53¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$1,121 +89% | 12 |
| 336d |  squarestylepizza | Naurdiev vs. Loder | BuyLoder47¢ → 0¢ | $1,034 | −$1,034 −100% | 12 |
| 336d | Sharpyyy2 fills | Naurdiev vs. Loder | BuyNaurdiev56¢ → 100¢ | $11,196 | +$8,804 +79% | 12 |
| 336d | WYNNERBACC | Naurdiev vs. Loder | BuyNaurdiev55¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$900 +82% | 9 |
| 336d | SeriouslySirius2 fills | Naurdiev vs. Loder | BuyLoder44¢ → 0¢ | $4,869 | −$4,869 −100% | 9 |
| 336d | SammySledge | Naurdiev vs. Loder | BuyLoder44¢ → 0¢ | $2,350 | −$2,350 −100% | 9 |
| 336d |  Flipadelphia | Naurdiev vs. Loder | BuyLoder42¢ → 0¢ | $2,865 | −$2,865 −100% | 9 |
| 336d | Anointed-Connect | Naurdiev vs. Loder | BuyNaurdiev58¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$1,259 +72% | 9 |
| 339d | Nyanto | Naurdiev vs. Loder | BuyNaurdiev55¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$1,052 +82% | 6 |
squarestylepizza6,385 sharesThis market will resolve to "Naurdiev" if Ismail Naurdiev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Loder at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker, scheduled for November 22, 2025. It will resolve to "Loder" if Ryan Loder is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 6, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Naurdiev vs. Loder means the market gives it about 100%.