Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | 0% | −39 pts | −50 pts | — · 13¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −65 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −46 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Prado to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +19 pts | +7 pts | 14¢ · 100¢ (86¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +61 pts | −11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | +9 pts | −10 pts | — · 80¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −54 pts | +4 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +14 pts | +7 pts | 13¢ · 100¢ (87¢) | — | ended |
| Bonfim to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −28 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Prado in Round 3 | 0% | +16 pts | −39 pts | — · 87¢ | — | ended |
| Prado in Round 2 | 0% | −28 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Prado in Round 1 | 100% | +24 pts | +7 pts | 13¢ · 100¢ (87¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +55 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | −17 pts | +7 pts | 13¢ · 100¢ (87¢) | — | ended |
| Bonfim in Round 1 | 0% | +17 pts | −23 pts | — · 87¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | +6 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Bonfim in Round 2 | 0% | +24 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Bonfim in Round 3 | 0% | +24 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | +4 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | SellFrancisco Prado>99¢ | $1,586 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 13d | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | SellFrancisco Prado>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 13d | madkkee | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | SellFrancisco Prado>99¢ | $6,697 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | ebateldoti | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | SellFrancisco Prado>99¢ | $1,059 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | SellFrancisco Prado>99¢ | $1,722 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 13d | curie | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | BuyFrancisco Prado92¢ → 100¢ | $2,812 | +$235 +8.4% | 7 |
| 13d | MahammadBruceLee | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | BuyFrancisco Prado80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$249 +25% | 11 |
| 13d | FKMY | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | BuyFrancisco Prado58¢ → 100¢ | $2,055 | +$1,507 +73% | 14 |
| 13d | surfandturf | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | SellFrancisco Prado57¢ → 100¢ | $14,250 | −$10,750 −75% | — |
| 13d | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | BuyFrancisco Prado58¢ → 100¢ | $4,408 | +$3,192 +72% | 14 | |
| 13d | madkkee | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | BuyFrancisco Prado58¢ → 100¢ | $3,888 | +$2,815 +72% | 14 |
| 13d | Sassy-Bucket4 fills | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | BuyIsmael Bonfim41¢ → 0¢ | $164,593 | −$165K −100% | 14 |
| 13d | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SellUnder35¢ → 100¢ | $2,445 | −$4,612 −189% | — | |
| 13d | Elaran1993 | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | BuyIsmael Bonfim40¢ → 0¢ | $11,659 | −$11,659 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | Wordy-Littleneck | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | BuyFrancisco Prado59¢ → 100¢ | $8,334 | +$5,791 +69% | 12 |
| 14d | Forecastication2 | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | BuyFrancisco Prado58¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$840 +72% | 12 |
| 14d | Numb-Sub | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | BuyFrancisco Prado58¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$955 +73% | 9 |
| 14d | gangmusic | Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado | BuyFrancisco Prado53¢ → 100¢ | $5,300 | +$4,700 +89% | 9 |
| 14d | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder37¢ → 100¢ | $2,671 | +$4,488 +168% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Ismael Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francisco Prado at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Francisco Prado" if Francisco Prado is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado means the market gives it about 0%.