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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adesanya to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pyfer to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209d | HypeManAlex | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer>99¢ | $2,140 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | 12qa12qa | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer>99¢ | $3,067 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | jhtj56jrgjtghrfe | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer>99¢ | $1,159 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 209d |  Judas-Priest | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,315 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | pbshine | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer>99¢ | $1,369 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | barashq2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer70¢ → 100¢ | $9,137 | −$3,892 −43% | — |
| 209d |  julyrizvanova | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer>99¢ | $1,525 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 209d |  Dancewithme123x | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer>99¢ | $1,096 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | Potable-Nectar | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer>99¢ | $1,076 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | ljmcha | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer99¢ → 100¢ | $6,750 | −$68 −1.0% | — |
| 209d | nbafan882 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer81¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | −$596 −23% | — |
| 209d |  Midrunner | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,769 | +$325 +12% | 8 |
| 209d | takeormake | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer99¢ → 100¢ | $4,038 | +$52 +1.3% | 4 |
| 209d |  workingonstuff | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya34¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | Judas-Priest2 fills | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,444 | +$875 +25% | 11 |
| 209d | VALORANTEGIRL | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer64¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | −$745 −56% | — |
| 209d | S4AI | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellIsrael Adesanya76¢ → 0¢ | $1,470 | +$1,470 +100% | — |
| 209d | Staid-Label2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya66¢ → 0¢ | $5,847 | −$5,847 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | acorp | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer40¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$1,758 +150% | 14 |
| 209d | itsallupnow2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer45¢ → 100¢ | $3,003 | +$3,663 +122% | 14 |
| 209d | S4AI | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya57¢ → 0¢ | $1,174 | −$1,174 −100% | 14 |
| 209d |  Ajwritescrypt0 | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya57¢ → 0¢ | $1,778 | −$1,778 −100% | 14 |
| 209d |  Nooserac2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$3,080 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | Benutzer2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $4,174 | +$5,313 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | joosangyoo | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya56¢ → 0¢ | $1,182 | −$1,182 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | Erebus69423 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya57¢ → 0¢ | $5,890 | −$5,890 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | KirksCousin4 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $12,086 | +$15,307 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | PleaseBro | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer45¢ → 100¢ | $3,724 | +$4,551 +122% | 14 |
| 209d | brokemaxdegen | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya56¢ → 0¢ | $7,000 | −$7,000 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | IAMMAXIMUS2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya56¢ → 0¢ | $4,350 | −$4,350 −100% | 12 |
| 209d |  TheOnlyHuman2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya56¢ → 0¢ | $5,783 | −$5,783 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | hitjnn214 | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya56¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | 6yuyurrg2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $11,655 | +$14,833 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | Random3366 | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | +$5,600 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | BoggsFromShawshank3 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $59,928 | +$76,272 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | xXFrameMoggedByFratLeaderXx67 | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$2,800 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | c4c4 | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $15,577 | +$19,826 +127% | 14 |
| 209d |  matanovik5 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $12,558 | +$15,984 +127% | 12 |
| 209d | dbhan | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | +$2,105 +127% | 14 |
| 209d |  berbisminsk2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $5,516 | +$7,021 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | ziiiiiiiiiiiii | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya57¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | VPenguin2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $77,171 | +$98,217 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | PleaseBro | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya57¢ → 0¢ | $1,546 | −$1,546 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | abouttojump | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$2,800 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | olegio2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $11,578 | +$14,735 +127% | 14 |
| 209d |  Flipadelphia | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$1,400 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | Ajwritescrypt0 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | BuyUnder52¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$4,628 +93% | 14 |
| 209d | RipNDip | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$1,680 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | barashq2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $5,931 | +$7,548 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | fourtyvolt | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya57¢ → 0¢ | $12,363 | −$12,363 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | Jdhdhduu | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya57¢ → 0¢ | $11,400 | −$11,400 −100% | 14 |
| 209d |  Ultima.predict | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya57¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 14 |
| 209d |  CrypTotoroNFT2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya57¢ → 0¢ | $6,724 | −$6,724 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | mudman88 | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya56¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | 0x5b63…30d5 | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya56¢ → 0¢ | $1,780 | −$1,780 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | Schnoodled | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya57¢ → 0¢ | $5,800 | −$5,800 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | Soupy-Stove | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | SellJoe Pyfer43¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | −$2,056 −132% | — |
| 209d | DarkZuckerberg - 28387 | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya56¢ → 0¢ | $1,151 | −$1,151 −100% | 14 |
| 209d |  b33t2 fills | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyIsrael Adesanya56¢ → 0¢ | $4,557 | −$4,557 −100% | 12 |
| 209d | YoshiYamamoto | Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer | BuyJoe Pyfer44¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,273 +127% | 14 |
b33t8,137 sharesThis market will resolve to "Israel Adesanya" if Israel Adesanya is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joe Pyfer at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Joe Pyfer" if Joe Pyfer is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer means the market gives it about 0%.