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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ortega to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Dasuyev in Round 1 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Dasuyev to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +71 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 100% | +42 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ortega in Round 1 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ortega in Round 2 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ortega in Round 3 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Dasuyev in Round 2 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Dasuyev in Round 3 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 10¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 100% | +45 pts | — | 90¢ · 100¢ (10¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d | Substantial-Service | Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev | BuyJaden Ortega39¢ → 0¢ | $1,512 | −$1,512 −100% | 14 |
| 31d |  36483934890472 fills | Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev | BuyAlvi Dasuyev69¢ → 100¢ | $3,570 | +$1,630 +46% | 14 |
| 31d | MahammadBruceLee | Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev | BuyAlvi Dasuyev90¢ → 100¢ | $1,791 | +$199 +11% | 7 |
| 31d | urgencista | Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev | BuyAlvi Dasuyev74¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$354 +35% | 13 |
Judas-Priest4,142 shares
LiquidatedDegen842 shares
lomatic485 sharesThis market will resolve to "Jaden Ortega" if Jaden Ortega is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alvi Dasuyev at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Alvi Dasuyev" if Alvi Dasuyev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev means the market gives it about 0%.