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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha | 50% | — | −23 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | — | −8 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | −4 pts | +3 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Rocha to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | −4 pts | +4 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | −4 pts | +1 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Filho to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +4 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | — | +3 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | BenArb | Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha | SellJafel Filho50¢ | $1,406 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 186d | BenArb | Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha | BuyJafel Filho51¢ → 50¢ | $1,078 | −$21 −2.0% | 6 |
| 187d |  obamason | Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha | BuyLucas Rocha49¢ → 50¢ | $8,427 | +$172 +2.0% | 6 |
| 187d | ArbTraderRookie | Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha | SellLucas Rocha48¢ → 50¢ | $1,122 | −$47 −4.2% | — |
| 187d | elkmonkey11 fills | Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha | BuyJafel Filho54¢ → 50¢ | $27,524 | −$1,881 −6.8% | 4 |
| 188d | SevenTons | Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha | BuyLucas Rocha48¢ → 50¢ | $1,460 | +$61 +4.2% | 4 |
| 188d | zbetts | Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha | BuyJafel Filho52¢ → 50¢ | $1,942 | −$75 −3.8% | 4 |
| 188d | steveabhi | Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha | BuyJafel Filho52¢ → 50¢ | $1,146 | −$44 −3.8% | 4 |
| 188d | elkmonkey2 fills | Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha | BuyLucas Rocha50¢ | $3,835 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Jafel Filho" if Jafel Filho is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Rocha" if Lucas Rocha is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha means the market gives it about 50%.