Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Aguilar to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | — | +1 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Tsuruya to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | — | −3 pts | 44¢ · 50¢ (6¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | — | −3 pts | 44¢ · 50¢ (6¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151d | fedorovPVO | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | SellJesus Aguilar49¢ → 50¢ | $1,065 | −$22 −2.0% | — |
| 151d | Obvious-Worshiper | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | SellRei Tsuruya50¢ | $14,670 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 152d | Round321 | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | SellRei Tsuruya50¢ | $1,315 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 153d | Round321 | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | BuyRei Tsuruya51¢ → 50¢ | $1,341 | −$26 −2.0% | 6 |
| 153d | 0xda39…c640 | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | SellRei Tsuruya50¢ | $8,735 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 154d | 0xda39…c640 | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | BuyRei Tsuruya51¢ → 50¢ | $8,910 | −$175 −2.0% | 4 |
| 155d | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | SellRei Tsuruya50¢ | $17,843 | $0 0.0% | — | |
| 155d | Shocked-Prospect | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | SellJesus Aguilar49¢ → 50¢ | $2,450 | −$50 −2.0% | — |
| 155d | mterr185 fills | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | BuyRei Tsuruya52¢ → 50¢ | $24,146 | −$918 −3.8% | 4 |
| 155d | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | BuyRei Tsuruya51¢ → 50¢ | $21,164 | −$415 −2.0% | 4 | |
| 155d | joshvan | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | SellRei Tsuruya50¢ | $1,448 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 156d | joshvan | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | BuyRei Tsuruya51¢ → 50¢ | $1,473 | −$29 −2.0% | 4 |
| 156d | Obvious-Worshiper2 fills | Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya | BuyRei Tsuruya51¢ → 50¢ | $14,986 | −$316 −2.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Jesus Aguilar" if Jesus Aguilar is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rei Tsuruya at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Rei Tsuruya" if Rei Tsuruya is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya means the market gives it about 50%.