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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | 50% | −6 pts | +5 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +36 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +23 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +31 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Castaneda to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −22 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −24 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vologdin to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −18 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +48 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −35 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 188d | 6yuyurrg | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | SellMark Vologdin50¢ | $1,597 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 188d |  Cooked | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | SellMark Vologdin50¢ | $1,232 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 188d | Cooked | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyMark Vologdin51¢ → 50¢ | $1,238 | −$24 −2.0% | 14 |
| 188d | elkmonkey | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | SellJohn Castaneda49¢ → 50¢ | $1,938 | −$40 −2.0% | — |
| 188d |  stillachance | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | SellMark Vologdin50¢ | $3,753 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 188d | Tann | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | SellMark Vologdin50¢ | $2,310 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 188d | jumboNuts | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | SellMark Vologdin50¢ | $1,018 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 188d | leo0770 | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | SellJohn Castaneda91¢ → 50¢ | $6,370 | +$2,870 +45% | — |
| 188d | theyseemeloosintheyhatin | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyMark Vologdin23¢ → 50¢ | $1,002 | +$1,177 +117% | 12 |
| 188d | leo07702 fills | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyJohn Castaneda50¢ | $4,222 | $0 0.0% | 12 |
| 188d | 6yuyurrg | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyMark Vologdin38¢ → 50¢ | $1,219 | +$385 +32% | 12 |
| 188d | Shrill-Aunt | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyJohn Castaneda60¢ → 50¢ | $18,236 | −$3,039 −17% | 12 |
| 188d | olegio | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyJohn Castaneda60¢ → 50¢ | $3,279 | −$547 −17% | 12 |
| 188d | VPenguin2 fills | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyJohn Castaneda60¢ → 50¢ | $16,490 | −$2,748 −17% | 12 |
| 188d | stillachance | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyMark Vologdin41¢ → 50¢ | $2,981 | +$654 +22% | 12 |
| 188d |  beetlepimp4 fills | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyJohn Castaneda60¢ → 50¢ | $96,035 | −$15,581 −16% | 12 |
| 188d | ohuhusos12 fills | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyMark Vologdin42¢ → 50¢ | $94,162 | +$19,000 +20% | 12 |
| 188d | Tann2 fills | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyMark Vologdin44¢ → 50¢ | $2,922 | +$411 +14% | 9 |
| 188d | CemeterySun | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyJohn Castaneda58¢ → 50¢ | $1,632 | −$225 −14% | 12 |
| 188d | Celebrated-Picture | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyJohn Castaneda58¢ → 50¢ | $1,018 | −$140 −14% | 15 |
| 188d | elkmonkey | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyJohn Castaneda59¢ → 50¢ | $1,090 | −$166 −15% | 12 |
| 194d | JohnnyWins | John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin | BuyJohn Castaneda49¢ → 50¢ | $1,018 | +$21 +2.0% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "John Castaneda" if John Castaneda is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mark Vologdin" if Mark Vologdin is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin means the market gives it about 50%.