Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian | 100% | +33 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −38 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tafa to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +46 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −25 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −25 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Christian to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −22 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −21 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +29 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +41 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174d | Azhy | Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian | SellJunior Tafa>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | holy-one | Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian | SellJunior Tafa>99¢ | $1,892 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | aviato | Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian | BuyJunior Tafa>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 174d | johncena17x | Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian | SellJunior Tafa99¢ → 100¢ | $3,524 | −$36 −1.0% | — |
| 174d | Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian | BuyKevin Christian35¢ → 0¢ | $1,916 | −$1,916 −100% | 12 | |
| 174d | JigglyPuff2 fills | Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian | BuyJunior Tafa66¢ → 100¢ | $6,986 | +$3,655 +52% | 12 |
| 174d | johncena17x | Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian | BuyJunior Tafa66¢ → 100¢ | $2,349 | +$1,210 +52% | 12 |
| 175d | mikesports | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder61¢ → 100¢ | $7,182 | +$4,527 +63% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Junior Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kevin Christian at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Kevin Christian" if Kevin Christian is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian means the market gives it about 100%.