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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaethje vs. Pimblett | 100% | +68 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gaethje win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −20 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pimblett win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −20 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +68 pts | +76 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +47 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −34 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +16 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +24 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −38 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 100% | +49 pts | +62 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 100% | +47 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 271d | acorp2 fills | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | 0x2AAb3Bdf173dA | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,692 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  GooberThaGooner | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $2,597 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | sayenns | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,022 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Dirty-Reorganisation | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $6,693 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  TaylorFritz | Gaethje win by KO/TKO? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,046 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  sunflowaa | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $3,215 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Ill-Fated-GerbilNew account | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $30,740 | −$31 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | YT-JuicySlots | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $62,402 | −$62 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  Judas-Priest2 fills | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje79¢ → 100¢ | $11,649 | −$3,070 −26% | — |
| 271d | captainbigballs | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $4,994 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  XSRM | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $3,221 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Truthful-AnesthesiologistNew account | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $2,729 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Well-To-Do-Lever | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,619 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  XCris | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $2,586 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  yameteV9 | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,561 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | jetskigrizzly | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,401 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | diuuuulei | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,070 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | corsairrose | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $13,728 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Sniffa | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $3,361 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Adkahn | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,024 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  TheBigHoss | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,768 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | arbquant | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $7,053 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Majesty322 | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,071 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | kutsumiakia | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,896 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | CryptoCamm | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $2,060 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | digitaltrap | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $2,082 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | mudman88 | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $13,398 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $4,801 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Flawed-FactorNew account | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $4,038 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  -hypn0tize | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,991 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | 050005000500 | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $2,150 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Utter-Enquiry | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,318 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Magnificent-Still | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $2,097 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | ALTALTOP | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | dennis4242 | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,159 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | DeadlyBettor | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,032 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Queasy-Concentrate | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,514 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | B4S3L1NES | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,014 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  razyob | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $4,516 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | i.i.ilo | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $2,468 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  VasyaPupkin | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $1,087 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  hanbetscap | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | tcp25 fills | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje69¢ → 100¢ | $8,085 | −$3,620 −45% | — |
| 271d | mrby | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje94¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | −$84 −6.1% | — |
| 271d | kysokkyska | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | BuyGaethje97¢ → 100¢ | $2,659 | +$96 +3.6% | 4 |
| 271d |  slowcrockpot | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje94¢ → 100¢ | $1,883 | −$119 −6.3% | — |
| 271d | chuddercheese | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | BuyGaethje97¢ → 100¢ | $4,565 | +$141 +3.1% | 4 |
| 271d | 0x37af…4b38 | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje99¢ → 100¢ | $3,375 | −$34 −1.0% | — |
| 271d | rbsp | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | BuyGaethje99¢ → 100¢ | $40,156 | +$601 +1.5% | 4 |
| 271d | laoli6683 fills | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | BuyGaethje95¢ → 100¢ | $5,675 | +$325 +5.7% | 4 |
| 271d | CryptoCamm | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | BuyGaethje97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$62 +3.1% | 4 |
| 271d | hanbetscap | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | BuyGaethje97¢ → 100¢ | $2,910 | +$90 +3.1% | 4 |
| 271d | jetskigrizzly | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | BuyGaethje97¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$38 +2.8% | 4 |
| 271d | borntoolate.eth | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,397 | +$44 +1.0% | 4 |
| 271d | Spry-Perception10 fills | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | BuyGaethje71¢ → 100¢ | $35,307 | +$14,253 +40% | 14 |
| 271d | Dirty-Reorganisation | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | BuyGaethje93¢ → 100¢ | $4,508 | +$339 +7.5% | 4 |
| 271d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,993 | +$53 +1.1% | 4 |
| 271d | stocktrader2123 | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | BuyGaethje90¢ → 100¢ | $3,728 | +$401 +11% | 4 |
| 271d |  thegreengem | Gaethje vs. Pimblett | SellGaethje86¢ → 100¢ | $4,307 | −$679 −16% | — |
This market will resolve to "Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Pimblett" if Paddy Pimblett is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Gaethje vs. Pimblett means the market gives it about 100%.