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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | 100% | +21 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +26 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −12 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −29 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −34 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Asakura to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +41 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +36 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aoriqileng to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −8 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −49 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55d | GooldzX | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 55d | hanlun | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | SellKai Asakura>99¢ | $21,640 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 55d | MEK9 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | SellOver>99¢ | $1,675 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 55d |  0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18 | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | SellKai Asakura>99¢ | $2,443 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 55d | wtylyjwyz | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | SellKai Asakura>99¢ | $2,077 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 55d | suntori | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | SellKai Asakura99¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 55d | aviato | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,321 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 55d | 0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18 | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | BuyKai Asakura94¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$69 +6.2% | 6 |
| 55d | MEK92 fills | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver99¢ → 100¢ | $3,359 | +$34 +1.0% | 4 |
| 55d | aidiaz13 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver99¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 55d | wtylyjwyz | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | BuyKai Asakura81¢ → 100¢ | $1,683 | +$395 +23% | 9 |
| 55d |  obamason | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | BuyKai Asakura81¢ → 100¢ | $2,187 | +$513 +23% | 9 |
| 55d | Pastourmas | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder61¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,918 +64% | 12 |
| 55d | GooldzX | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$900 +43% | 12 |
| 55d | 0x3be2…91a0 | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | BuyKai Asakura80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 9 |
| 55d | Nepetalactone | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | BuyKai Asakura80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 9 |
| 55d | hanlun | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | BuyKai Asakura80¢ → 100¢ | $17,330 | +$4,332 +25% | 9 |
| 55d | suntori | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | BuyKai Asakura80¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$335 +25% | 9 |
| 55d | ox1star84 | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | BuyKai Asakura80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$500 +25% | 9 |
| 55d |  VeryLucky8882 fills | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | SellKai Asakura79¢ → 100¢ | $3,160 | −$840 −27% | — |
| 56d | christianox | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | BuyKai Asakura79¢ → 100¢ | $3,950 | +$1,050 +27% | 8 |
| 56d | prtchmma | Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng | BuyKai Asakura79¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$295 +27% | 8 |
pepegagiga1,394 sharesThis market will resolve to "Kai Asakura" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Aoriqileng" if Aoriqileng is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng means the market gives it about 100%.