Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman | 100% | +29 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −44 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −63 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Asakura to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +55 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Smotherman to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −15 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −36 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −14 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −81 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +49 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 146d | Equal-Sisterinlaw | Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman | SellKai Asakura>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 146d | lovelife123 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | SellUnder>99¢ | $1,343 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 146d | 0x24d3…30ab | Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman | SellKai Asakura>99¢ | $3,007 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 146d | 0x24d3…30ab | Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman | BuyKai Asakura96¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$99 +4.0% | 5 |
| 146d | Equal-Sisterinlaw | Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman | BuyKai Asakura72¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$1,400 +39% | 11 |
| 146d | Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman | BuyKai Asakura73¢ → 100¢ | $36,500 | +$13,500 +37% | 11 | |
| 146d | ox1star84 | Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman | BuyKai Asakura73¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$378 +37% | 11 |
| 146d | Jon-Anik-Fan | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder51¢ → 100¢ | $2,470 | +$2,374 +96% | 12 |
| 148d | timezonewarrior | Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman | BuyCameron Smotherman28¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Kai Asakura" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Cameron Smotherman at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Cameron Smotherman" if Cameron Smotherman is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman means the market gives it about 100%.