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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −74 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −71 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +77 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +88 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cerminara to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cerminara in Round 1 | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −80 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stiller in Round 1 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stiller to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cerminara in Round 2 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cerminara in Round 3 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stiller in Round 2 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stiller in Round 3 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | madkkee | Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller | SellKatlyn Cerminara>99¢ | $7,769 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | janglinjack | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver73¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 13 |
| 5d | madkkee | Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller | BuyKatlyn Cerminara69¢ → 100¢ | $5,366 | +$2,411 +45% | 14 |
| 5d | Sassy-Bucket3 fills | Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller | BuyKatlyn Cerminara69¢ → 100¢ | $53,390 | +$24,463 +46% | 14 |
| 5d | the.Hound | Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller | SellMackenzie Stiller31¢ → 0¢ | $1,128 | +$1,128 +100% | — |
Nooserac30,000 shares
DumplingBMF3,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Katlyn Cerminara" if Katlyn Cerminara is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mackenzie Stiller at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Mackenzie Stiller" if Mackenzie Stiller is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller means the market gives it about 100%.