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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | 0% | −69 pts | −67 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +8 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −69 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −38 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gastelum to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −38 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −57 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +78 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luque to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −30 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −48 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195d | randomniynickname2 fills | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | SellVicente Luque45¢ → 100¢ | $2,661 | −$3,192 −120% | — |
| 195d | Gorgeous-Witch | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | SellVicente Luque>99¢ | $1,565 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Onomatopoeia777 | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | SellVicente Luque>99¢ | $45,023 | −$45 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Whirlwind-RosterNew account | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | SellVicente Luque>99¢ | $1,497 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | SellVicente Luque>99¢ | $1,516 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | kkookkoo | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | SellVicente Luque>99¢ | $7,662 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  labradoodle | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | SellVicente Luque>99¢ | $3,995 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | 6yuyurrg | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | SellVicente Luque>99¢ | $1,669 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | labradoodle | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyVicente Luque99¢ → 100¢ | $3,940 | +$58 +1.5% | 4 |
| 195d | Urban-Drawer | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum58¢ → 0¢ | $1,917 | −$1,917 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | kkookkoo | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyVicente Luque32¢ → 100¢ | $2,398 | +$5,112 +213% | 14 |
| 195d | surfandturf3 fills | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $27,744 | −$27,744 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | Onomatopoeia7772 fills | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyVicente Luque31¢ → 100¢ | $13,553 | +$30,559 +225% | 12 |
| 195d | brokemaxdegen2 fills | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $23,572 | −$23,572 −100% | 6 |
| 195d |  TheOneto32 fills | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $2,931 | −$2,931 −100% | 12 |
| 195d | isp | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyVicente Luque30¢ → 100¢ | $4,651 | +$10,853 +233% | 12 |
| 195d | Testy-State | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum71¢ → 0¢ | $3,139 | −$3,139 −100% | 12 |
| 195d | PendulumExchange3 fills | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum71¢ → 0¢ | $63,863 | −$63,863 −100% | 12 |
| 195d | WALLYFIGHTS | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $997 | −$997 −100% | 12 |
| 195d | randomniynickname2 fills | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyVicente Luque31¢ → 100¢ | $2,663 | +$5,928 +223% | 9 |
| 195d | Massimo24 | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $6,874 | −$6,874 −100% | 12 |
| 195d | Misguided-Sock3 fills | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum71¢ → 0¢ | $9,815 | −$9,815 −100% | 9 |
| 195d | angelat0 | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $9,820 | −$9,820 −100% | 12 |
| 195d | Gold.Mansacks | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyVicente Luque31¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$2,315 +223% | 12 |
| 195d |  ComingBack | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyVicente Luque31¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$2,804 +223% | 12 |
| 196d | rafa.pandolfo | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $1,031 | −$1,031 −100% | 9 |
| 196d | 0x2AAb3Bdf173dA | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $2,259 | −$2,259 −100% | 9 |
| 196d |  4751346 | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $3,437 | −$3,437 −100% | 9 |
| 196d | Repulsive-Antiquity | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $4,674 | −$4,674 −100% | 9 |
| 196d |  AML | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyVicente Luque30¢ → 100¢ | $1,622 | +$3,784 +233% | 9 |
| 198d | ox1star84 | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $4,955 | −$4,955 −100% | 6 |
| 200d |  IGBGMN | Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque | BuyKelvin Gastelum70¢ → 0¢ | $1,239 | −$1,239 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Kelvin Gastelum" if Kelvin Gastelum is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque means the market gives it about 0%.