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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez | 0% | −25 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −46 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pérez to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +57 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −31 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −18 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +43 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −66 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nelson to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −30 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pérez in Round 1 | 100% | +62 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −34 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pérez in Round 3 | 0% | −27 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −31 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +60 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +31 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nelson in Round 1 | 0% | −27 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nelson in Round 2 | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nelson in Round 3 | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pérez in Round 2 | 0% | −33 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −31 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | wtylyjwyz | Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez | SellCristian Pérez>99¢ | $1,455 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 6d | makizinchers | Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez | SellCristian Pérez>99¢ | $1,668 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 6d | i.i.ilo | Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez | SellCristian Pérez99¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 6d | byakugan080 | Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez | SellCristian Pérez99¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 6d | Mastermoney | Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez | BuyKyle Nelson25¢ → 0¢ | $1,295 | −$1,295 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | wtylyjwyz | Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez | BuyCristian Pérez76¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$350 +32% | 12 |
| 6d | makizinchers | Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez | BuyCristian Pérez76¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$401 +32% | 12 |
| 6d | kkookkoo | O/U 2.5 Rounds | SellUnder68¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | −$635 −47% | — |
| 6d | kkookkoo | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder77¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$460 +30% | 12 |
| 6d | EmmetBrown3rd | Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez | BuyCristian Pérez75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 12 |
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Cristian Pérez at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Cristian Pérez" if Cristian Pérez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez means the market gives it about 0%.