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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | 0% | −63 pts | −67 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −31 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −38 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barriault to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +68 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Daukaus to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −34 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −58 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daukaus in Round 1 | 0% | −34 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −35 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +57 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barriault in Round 1 | 100% | +72 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +66 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +30 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Daukaus in Round 3 | 0% | −27 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −39 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +44 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Daukaus in Round 2 | 0% | −30 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barriault in Round 2 | 0% | −26 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barriault in Round 3 | 0% | −26 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −39 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | Mastermoney | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | SellMarc-Andre Barriault>99¢ | $4,162 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 6d | wtylyjwyz | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | SellMarc-Andre Barriault>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 6d | schebon | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyMarc-Andre Barriault99¢ → 100¢ | $9,451 | +$111 +1.2% | 4 |
| 6d | strctr | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus60¢ → 0¢ | $1,167 | −$1,167 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | pagliacci4 | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus87¢ → 0¢ | $1,407 | −$1,407 −100% | 8 |
| 6d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus65¢ → 0¢ | $1,950 | −$1,950 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | gaclfz4 fills | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus65¢ → 0¢ | $5,777 | −$5,777 −100% | 14 |
| 6d |  Mr.Kirk | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder64¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$569 +56% | 14 |
| 6d | geraldo777 | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus65¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | Mastermoney | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyMarc-Andre Barriault36¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$2,667 +178% | 14 |
| 6d | suntori | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyMarc-Andre Barriault36¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$2,032 +178% | 14 |
| 6d | Madeira99 | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus65¢ → 0¢ | $1,304 | −$1,304 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | i.i.ilo | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus64¢ → 0¢ | $1,152 | −$1,152 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | Raisuu | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus64¢ → 0¢ | $11,484 | −$11,484 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | caspar1248 | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus64¢ → 0¢ | $1,981 | −$1,981 −100% | 14 |
| 6d |  nigiri993 fills | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyMarc-Andre Barriault36¢ → 100¢ | $4,860 | +$8,640 +178% | 14 |
| 6d | EmmetBrown3rd | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus65¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | Carlos10 | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyMarc-Andre Barriault37¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,703 +170% | 12 |
| 6d |  digitalnomad85 | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus64¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 12 |
| 7d | Gold.Mansacks | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus64¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 12 |
This market will resolve to "Kyle Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Marc-Andre Barriault" if Marc-Andre Barriault is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault means the market gives it about 0%.