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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | 0% | −42 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 0% | −53 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −54 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kape to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +71 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +18 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +59 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +21 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 0% | −60 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −12 pts | −38 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Horiguchi to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −11 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +29 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125d | 0x3ce6…f60a | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape>99¢ | $1,058 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 125d | Slippery-Joint | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape>99¢ | $2,271 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 125d | neutralwave23 | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape>99¢ | $3,103 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 125d |  digitalnomad85 | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape>99¢ | $1,059 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 125d |  hanbetscap | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape>99¢ | $3,197 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 125d |  alpheclabs | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape>99¢ | $2,333 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 125d | zzqq35 | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,278 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 125d | Angry-Minority | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape>99¢ | $1,248 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 125d | Wordy-Littleneck | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape>99¢ | $69,930 | −$70 −0.1% | — |
| 125d |  Mr.Kirk | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 125d | StoleThat | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape>99¢ | $4,258 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 125d | Black-Bondsman | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape>99¢ | $2,900 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 125d |  robota | O/U 4.5 Rounds | SellUnder99¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 125d |  LarryDaddy | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape99¢ → 100¢ | $21,832 | −$221 −1.0% | — |
| 125d | i.i.ilo | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape99¢ → 100¢ | $5,910 | −$60 −1.0% | — |
| 125d | 6yuyurrg | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellManel Kape99¢ → 100¢ | $12,720 | −$128 −1.0% | — |
| 125d |  thebluegem4 fills | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape95¢ → 100¢ | $34,611 | +$1,978 +5.7% | 6 |
| 125d | takeormake | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi80¢ → 0¢ | $2,191 | −$2,191 −100% | 11 |
| 125d | abouttojump | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape30¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$3,500 +233% | 14 |
| 125d | sts22 | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi70¢ → 0¢ | $2,322 | −$2,322 −100% | 14 |
| 125d | neutralwave23 | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellKyoji Horiguchi67¢ → 0¢ | $1,850 | +$1,850 +100% | — |
| 125d |  4751346 | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 125d | Black-Bondsman | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape62¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$1,103 +61% | 14 |
| 125d | curie | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi38¢ → 0¢ | $1,907 | −$1,907 −100% | 14 |
| 125d | Substantial-Service | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi38¢ → 0¢ | $15,180 | −$15,180 −100% | 14 |
| 125d | curie | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape64¢ → 100¢ | $1,518 | +$854 +56% | 14 |
| 125d | Sassy-Bucket4 fills | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape63¢ → 100¢ | $199,979 | +$119K +60% | 14 |
| 125d | neutralwave23 | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi37¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | −$1,022 −100% | 14 |
| 125d |  0xwise | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape64¢ → 100¢ | $1,962 | +$1,104 +56% | 14 |
| 125d | nononononoononono | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi37¢ → 0¢ | $2,074 | −$2,074 −100% | 14 |
| 125d | nononononoononono | O/U 4.5 Rounds | BuyUnder47¢ → 100¢ | $2,388 | +$2,693 +113% | 14 |
| 125d | elchaman | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi38¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 |
| 125d | TraderXI | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi38¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 125d | i.i.ilo | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape63¢ → 100¢ | $3,761 | +$2,209 +59% | 14 |
| 125d | LarryDaddy5 fills | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape62¢ → 100¢ | $13,429 | +$8,104 +60% | 14 |
| 125d | hanbetscap | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape62¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$1,216 +61% | 14 |
| 125d |  JustADonk | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape62¢ → 100¢ | $2,823 | +$1,731 +61% | 14 |
| 125d | randomniynickname | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi39¢ → 0¢ | $1,381 | −$1,381 −100% | 14 |
| 125d | randomniynickname | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | SellKyoji Horiguchi38¢ → 0¢ | $2,424 | +$2,424 +100% | — |
| 125d | BaccaratRoulette | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi39¢ → 0¢ | $3,706 | −$3,706 −100% | 14 |
| 125d | neutralwave23 | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape62¢ → 100¢ | $1,926 | +$1,180 +61% | 14 |
| 125d | THEdirkdiggler | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape61¢ → 100¢ | $18,845 | +$12,049 +64% | 14 |
| 125d | GamblingOdyssey | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi39¢ → 0¢ | $1,471 | −$1,471 −100% | 14 |
| 125d | Brownoise | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi41¢ → 0¢ | $7,382 | −$7,382 −100% | 12 |
| 125d | StoleThat | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape61¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$1,662 +64% | 12 |
| 125d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape60¢ → 100¢ | $2,113 | +$1,408 +67% | 12 |
| 125d |  KioskJammer | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape59¢ → 100¢ | $2,226 | +$1,547 +69% | 12 |
| 125d | Gold.Mansacks | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyManel Kape58¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$1,101 +72% | 12 |
| 125d | curryfever | Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape | BuyKyoji Horiguchi43¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 12 |
itdo8,372 sharesThis market will resolve to "Kyoji Horiguchi" if Kyoji Horiguchi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manel Kape at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Manel Kape" if Manel Kape is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape means the market gives it about 0%.