Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago | 0% | −72 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santiago to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +84 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lui to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55d | user921123 | Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago | BuyHector Santiago84¢ → 100¢ | $2,187 | +$417 +19% | 8 |
| 55d | ferrariChampions2026 | Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago | BuyLawrence Lui37¢ → 0¢ | $1,847 | −$1,847 −100% | 12 |
| 55d | Nutritious-Shelf | Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago | BuyLawrence Lui76¢ → 0¢ | $1,520 | −$1,520 −100% | 10 |
| 55d | jtwyslljy2 fills | Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago | BuyHector Santiago24¢ → 100¢ | $15,027 | +$47,585 +317% | 12 |
| 56d | kingflop2 fills | Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago | BuyLawrence Lui76¢ → 0¢ | $8,875 | −$8,875 −100% | 8 |
| 56d | Elaran1993 | Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago | BuyLawrence Lui73¢ → 0¢ | $3,001 | −$3,001 −100% | 9 |
| 56d | prtchmma | Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago | BuyLawrence Lui73¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Lawrence Lui" if Lawrence Lui is officially declared the winner of the fight against Hector Santiago at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Hector Santiago" if Hector Santiago is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago means the market gives it about 0%.