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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Marshall to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brennan to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181d |  0xLoneStar | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | SellFrancis Marshall>99¢ | $25,178 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | smd333 | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | SellFrancis Marshall>99¢ | $2,958 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 181d |  turista.analog | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | SellFrancis Marshall>99¢ | $1,315 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | mishipolis | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | SellFrancis Marshall>99¢ | $1,387 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 181d |  sleepy-panda | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | BuyFrancis Marshall>99¢ | $2,092 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 181d |  thegreengem | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | BuyFrancis Marshall>99¢ | $2,867 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 181d | 6yuyurrg | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | BuyFrancis Marshall>99¢ | $1,432 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 181d | turista.analog | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | BuyFrancis Marshall97¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | +$39 +3.1% | 5 |
| 181d | amnesia12 | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | BuyLucas Brennan15¢ → 0¢ | $1,423 | −$1,423 −100% | 14 |
| 181d | takeormake | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | BuyFrancis Marshall82¢ → 100¢ | $1,573 | +$343 +22% | 10 |
| 181d |  Nooserac3 fills | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | BuyFrancis Marshall80¢ → 100¢ | $12,043 | +$3,011 +25% | 11 |
| 181d | bondfolio | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | BuyFrancis Marshall80¢ → 100¢ | $7,246 | +$1,811 +25% | 11 |
| 181d |  4751346 | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | BuyFrancis Marshall80¢ → 100¢ | $1,581 | +$395 +25% | 11 |
| 181d | 0xLoneStar3 fills | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | BuyFrancis Marshall80¢ → 100¢ | $15,817 | +$4,029 +25% | 11 |
| 183d | olddirtyfighter | Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall | BuyFrancis Marshall82¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | +$360 +22% | 7 |
This market will resolve to "Lucas Brennan" if Lucas Brennan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall means the market gives it about 0%.