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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Riley to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aswell to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216d | infix | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | SellLuke Riley>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | Massimo24 | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | SellLuke Riley>99¢ | $29,959 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 216d |  copefan | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | SellLuke Riley>99¢ | $3,461 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | jumboNuts | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | SellLuke Riley>99¢ | $2,597 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | Momentumtrades | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | SellLuke Riley>99¢ | $15,984 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | PolyChrome | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | SellLuke Riley>99¢ | $2,466 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 216d |  0xLoneStar | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | SellLuke Riley>99¢ | $8,178 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 216d |  wokql | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | SellLuke Riley>99¢ | $1,072 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | jaotrade | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | SellLuke Riley>99¢ | $3,265 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | jaotrade | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley99¢ → 100¢ | $3,235 | +$33 +1.0% | 4 |
| 216d | laoli6682 fills | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley96¢ → 100¢ | $10,479 | +$458 +4.4% | 5 |
| 216d | hanlun | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley95¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$276 +5.5% | 6 |
| 216d | thepunterwhopunts | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyMichael Aswell7¢ → 0¢ | $1,593 | −$1,593 −100% | 14 |
| 216d | PolyChrome | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley89¢ → 100¢ | $1,926 | +$240 +12% | 8 |
| 216d |  aestcon | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | SellLuke Riley83¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | −$239 −20% | — |
| 216d | leo0770 | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley84¢ → 100¢ | $2,523 | +$481 +19% | 9 |
| 216d | 6yuyurrg | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyMichael Aswell35¢ → 0¢ | $2,390 | −$2,390 −100% | 14 |
| 216d |  obamason | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyMichael Aswell32¢ → 0¢ | $1,137 | −$1,137 −100% | 14 |
| 216d | Momentumtrades | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley69¢ → 100¢ | $10,745 | +$4,926 +46% | 14 |
| 216d | BoggsFromShawshank | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley68¢ → 100¢ | $21,284 | +$10,016 +47% | 14 |
| 216d | bcda4 fills | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley67¢ → 100¢ | $199,648 | +$100K +50% | 12 |
| 216d | jumboNuts | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley68¢ → 100¢ | $1,768 | +$832 +47% | 14 |
| 216d |  missadventure | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley68¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$941 +47% | 14 |
| 216d | salahmh2 fills | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyMichael Aswell33¢ → 0¢ | $3,916 | −$3,916 −100% | 14 |
| 216d | slimjoe | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley68¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$527 +47% | 14 |
| 216d |  matanovik2 fills | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyMichael Aswell33¢ → 0¢ | $4,359 | −$4,359 −100% | 14 |
| 216d | dotheoppositeofme | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley68¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$4,706 +47% | 14 |
| 216d | copefan | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley68¢ → 100¢ | $2,356 | +$1,109 +47% | 14 |
| 216d | infix | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley68¢ → 100¢ | $2,720 | +$1,280 +47% | 14 |
| 216d | joosangyoo3 fills | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley67¢ → 100¢ | $119,422 | +$58,940 +49% | 12 |
| 216d | KingVon99 | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyMichael Aswell35¢ → 0¢ | $3,742 | −$3,742 −100% | 12 |
| 216d | GamblingOdyssey | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyMichael Aswell35¢ → 0¢ | $5,600 | −$5,600 −100% | 12 |
| 216d | om777 | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley66¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$10,303 +52% | 12 |
| 216d | Random3366 | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley66¢ → 100¢ | $6,600 | +$3,400 +52% | 12 |
| 216d | Massimo243 fills | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley66¢ → 100¢ | $18,500 | +$9,530 +52% | 12 |
| 216d | CemeterySun | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyMichael Aswell35¢ → 0¢ | $2,943 | −$2,943 −100% | 12 |
| 216d | Warm-Faucet | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley65¢ → 100¢ | $2,001 | +$1,077 +54% | 12 |
| 216d | 0x3723…1fda | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley65¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$1,885 +54% | 12 |
| 217d | hugesportswhale | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | SellLuke Riley64¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | −$725 −56% | — |
| 217d | elkmonkey | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley65¢ → 100¢ | $2,393 | +$1,289 +54% | 9 |
| 218d | quiteimprobable | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyMichael Aswell35¢ → 0¢ | $1,268 | −$1,268 −100% | 9 |
| 218d | CemeterySun | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley66¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$975 +52% | 9 |
| 218d | hugesportswhale | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley66¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$975 +52% | 9 |
| 218d | Bettor4747 | Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell | BuyLuke Riley69¢ → 100¢ | $6,690 | +$3,006 +45% | 9 |
ZangoenPilleur526 sharesThis market will resolve to "Luke Riley" if Luke Riley is officially declared the winner of the fight against Michael Aswell at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Michael Aswell" if Michael Aswell is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for O/U 2.5 Rounds means the market gives it about 100%.