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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiasson vs. Perez | 0% | −2 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | −1 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | −1 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Perez to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chiasson to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | +1 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | +2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | +3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +1 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +4 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | Warm-Faucet | Chiasson vs. Perez | SellPerez>99¢ | $1,273 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 236d |  0xLoneStar | Chiasson vs. Perez | SellPerez>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | knoxgold | Chiasson vs. Perez | SellPerez>99¢ | $21,473 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | BTCFudder | Chiasson vs. Perez | SellPerez>99¢ | $1,020 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | ChompChomp888 | Chiasson vs. Perez | SellPerez>99¢ | $14,916 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Rubbery-LlamaNew account | Chiasson vs. Perez | SellPerez>99¢ | $1,879 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | 6yuyurrg | Chiasson vs. Perez | SellPerez>99¢ | $20,663 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  sharpmonkey | Chiasson vs. Perez | SellPerez>99¢ | $3,428 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | tcp2 | Chiasson vs. Perez | SellPerez>99¢ | $1,478 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | sharpmonkey | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez97¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$65 +3.1% | 5 |
| 237d | 6yuyurrg3 fills | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez74¢ → 100¢ | $4,706 | +$1,635 +35% | 13 |
| 237d | hollyber2 fills | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez77¢ → 100¢ | $7,014 | +$2,089 +30% | 12 |
| 237d |  47513462 fills | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez64¢ → 100¢ | $3,218 | +$1,782 +55% | 14 |
| 237d |  GeepaP | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson34¢ → 0¢ | $3,672 | −$3,672 −100% | 14 |
| 237d |  3648393489047 | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez52¢ → 100¢ | $2,142 | +$1,978 +92% | 14 |
| 237d | takeormake | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez35¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | +$2,473 +186% | 14 |
| 237d | 6yuyurrg | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson57¢ → 0¢ | $2,038 | −$2,038 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | 0xLoneStar | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez66¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$689 +53% | 14 |
| 237d | joosangyoo2 fills | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez63¢ → 100¢ | $18,800 | +$11,200 +60% | 14 |
| 237d | ChompChomp8883 fills | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez64¢ → 100¢ | $9,500 | +$5,431 +57% | 14 |
| 237d | knoxgold3 fills | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez63¢ → 100¢ | $48,390 | +$28,730 +59% | 14 |
| 237d | 4751346 | Chiasson vs. Perez | SellPerez61¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | −$780 −64% | — |
| 237d | theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez62¢ → 100¢ | $6,200 | +$3,800 +61% | 14 |
| 237d | phonesculptor | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $7,026 | −$7,026 −100% | 14 |
| 237d |  sunflowaa | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $1,705 | −$1,705 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | benwyatt | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson37¢ → 0¢ | $1,119 | −$1,119 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | Arboristree | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $3,040 | −$3,040 −100% | 14 |
| 237d |  CanadianHulk | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson37¢ → 0¢ | $1,065 | −$1,065 −100% | 14 |
| 237d |  matanovik3 fills | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $5,450 | −$5,450 −100% | 12 |
| 237d | Portly-Derivation3 fills | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez63¢ → 100¢ | $23,400 | +$13,634 +58% | 15 |
| 237d |  stillachance | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson37¢ → 0¢ | $2,913 | −$2,913 −100% | 14 |
| 237d |  PhoenixSuns | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $1,224 | −$1,224 −100% | 14 |
| 237d |  berbisminsk | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $1,273 | −$1,273 −100% | 14 |
| 237d |  HeyItsOracle0 | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $1,407 | −$1,407 −100% | 12 |
| 237d |  xfile | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $2,291 | −$2,291 −100% | 12 |
| 237d | WYNNERBACC | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $1,227 | −$1,227 −100% | 12 |
| 237d | 0xc33a…3da3 | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez63¢ → 100¢ | $1,871 | +$1,099 +59% | 12 |
| 237d | ckw2 fills | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez62¢ → 100¢ | $8,290 | +$5,081 +61% | 12 |
| 238d | quiteimprobable5 fills | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez62¢ → 100¢ | $38,556 | +$23,423 +61% | 9 |
| 238d | leegunner | Chiasson vs. Perez | SellChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | +$1,140 +100% | — |
| 238d | 432614799197 | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $2,319 | −$2,319 −100% | 9 |
| 238d |  binkybarnes552 fills | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyPerez60¢ → 100¢ | $2,843 | +$1,862 +65% | 9 |
| 242d |  Painfulvoid | Chiasson vs. Perez | BuyChiasson38¢ → 0¢ | $2,289 | −$2,289 −100% | 6 |
xfile6,853 sharessunflowaa4,486 sharesThis market will resolve to "Chiasson" if Macy Chiasson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ailin Perez at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Perez" if Ailin Perez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Chiasson vs. Perez means the market gives it about 0%.