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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bautista vs. Oliveira | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bautista to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliveira to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258d | vincentchase11 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | SellBautista>99¢ | $3,546 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | dontsaymyname | Bautista vs. Oliveira | SellBautista>99¢ | $1,784 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  Kangta8585 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | SellBautista>99¢ | $1,906 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Tomer12 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | SellBautista>99¢ | $1,784 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | ForgetAboutBenjamin | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $3,625 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | Huge-Vein | Bautista vs. Oliveira | SellBautista>99¢ | $1,355 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Massimo24 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | SellBautista99¢ → 100¢ | $3,643 | −$37 −1.0% | — |
| 258d | takeormake | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista98¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | +$26 +2.0% | 5 |
| 258d |  ComingBack | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista95¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$74 +5.3% | 6 |
| 258d |  predictor555 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | SellBautista90¢ → 100¢ | $4,740 | −$526 −11% | — |
| 258d |  MiLive2 fills | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $6,635 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | Kangta8585 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista58¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$808 +73% | 14 |
| 258d |  LadyLuck2 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira46¢ → 0¢ | $1,196 | −$1,196 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | predictor555 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista57¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,267 +76% | 14 |
| 258d | joosangyoo | Bautista vs. Oliveira | SellBautista54¢ → 100¢ | $21,350 | −$18,187 −85% | — |
| 258d | DONOTUSE45345345 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira46¢ → 0¢ | $17,802 | −$17,802 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista55¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | +$984 +82% | 14 |
| 258d |  Nooserac2 fills | Bautista vs. Oliveira | SellOliveira44¢ → 0¢ | $4,400 | +$4,400 +100% | — |
| 258d | ChompChomp888 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista56¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,964 +79% | 14 |
| 258d | Donghui2 fills | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista56¢ → 100¢ | $52,363 | +$41,827 +80% | 14 |
| 258d | gohavas2 fills | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira45¢ → 0¢ | $6,250 | −$6,250 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | IAmHomelessNow | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira45¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | brokemaxdegen | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista55¢ → 100¢ | $5,005 | +$4,095 +82% | 14 |
| 258d | ringeo | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista55¢ → 100¢ | $2,089 | +$1,688 +81% | 14 |
| 258d | joosangyoo | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista55¢ → 100¢ | $27,500 | +$22,500 +82% | 14 |
| 258d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d08915 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista55¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | +$1,003 +82% | 14 |
| 258d | Obilic | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista55¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$2,700 +82% | 14 |
| 258d | 0xa382…ed19 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista55¢ → 100¢ | $1,901 | +$1,555 +82% | 14 |
| 258d | Mrcoopdog | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira46¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 14 |
| 258d |  ddfps | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira46¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | Sharpyyy2 fills | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista56¢ → 100¢ | $15,023 | +$11,943 +80% | 12 |
| 258d |  TheOnlyHuman | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista55¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$1,080 +82% | 14 |
| 258d | Massimo24 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista55¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,636 +82% | 14 |
| 258d | knoxgold | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista56¢ → 100¢ | $26,594 | +$20,895 +79% | 14 |
| 258d |  Flipadelphia | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira45¢ → 0¢ | $2,250 | −$2,250 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | vincentchase11 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista56¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,550 +77% | 14 |
| 258d |  DefNotJonasTheWolf | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista56¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | +$989 +79% | 14 |
| 258d |  berboche | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista56¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,179 +79% | 14 |
| 258d | peter010717 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira45¢ → 0¢ | $17,111 | −$17,111 −100% | 12 |
| 258d | Luckyboy29 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira44¢ → 0¢ | $3,960 | −$3,960 −100% | 12 |
| 258d | Anointed-Connect | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira43¢ → 0¢ | $28,415 | −$28,415 −100% | 12 |
| 258d | RipNDip | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira44¢ → 0¢ | $1,760 | −$1,760 −100% | 12 |
| 258d | lonzoball | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista58¢ → 100¢ | $1,798 | +$1,302 +72% | 12 |
| 258d | Scaly-Packet | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista57¢ → 100¢ | $2,622 | +$1,978 +75% | 12 |
| 259d |  njch.las | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista58¢ → 100¢ | $2,568 | +$1,861 +72% | 9 |
| 259d | ve3693 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista58¢ → 100¢ | $5,626 | +$4,074 +72% | 9 |
| 260d |  sleepy-panda | Bautista vs. Oliveira | SellOliveira42¢ → 0¢ | $4,236 | +$4,236 +100% | — |
| 260d | 00328175910293 | Bautista vs. Oliveira | SellBautista56¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | −$1,310 −78% | — |
| 260d | enjoyablestench | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista59¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | +$955 +70% | 9 |
| 261d | sleepy-panda | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira41¢ → 0¢ | $5,125 | −$5,125 −100% | 6 |
| 261d |  aestcon | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyBautista60¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,000 +67% | 6 |
| 261d | MrSparklySimpsons | Bautista vs. Oliveira | BuyOliveira40¢ → 0¢ | $2,261 | −$2,261 −100% | 6 |
ddfps10,870 sharesThis market will resolve to "Bautista" if Mario Bautista is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vinicius Oliveira at UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira, scheduled for February 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Oliveira" if Vinicius Oliveira is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bautista vs. Oliveira means the market gives it about 100%.