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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | 0% | −44 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +32 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +38 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Vettori to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −12 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −10 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Naurdiev to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −24 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −30 pts | −48 pts | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +9 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +23 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 100% | −8 pts | +3 pts | 6¢ · 100¢ (94¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −8 pts | −40 pts | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 0% | +20 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Vettori in Round 1 | 0% | +36 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Vettori in Round 2 | 0% | +36 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Vettori in Round 3 | 0% | +36 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Naurdiev in Round 1 | 0% | +33 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Naurdiev in Round 2 | 0% | +34 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Naurdiev in Round 3 | 0% | +36 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 100% | −9 pts | +3 pts | 5¢ · 100¢ (95¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d |  Aaarwid | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | SellIsmail Naurdiev>99¢ | $1,092 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | masterkopeek | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | SellIsmail Naurdiev>99¢ | $3,517 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | IamChampion | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | SellIsmail Naurdiev>99¢ | $1,509 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | 0x1507…e175 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | SellIsmail Naurdiev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 20d | hellonewday | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyIsmail Naurdiev67¢ → 100¢ | $19,200 | +$9,576 +50% | 12 |
| 20d | redfox666 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyIsmail Naurdiev70¢ → 100¢ | $16,405 | +$6,946 +42% | 12 |
| 20d | curie | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyIsmail Naurdiev80¢ → 100¢ | $2,633 | +$658 +25% | 9 |
| 20d | Fuzzy-Yoga | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | SellMarvin Vettori27¢ → 0¢ | $2,848 | +$2,848 +100% | — |
| 20d | masterkopeek | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyIsmail Naurdiev66¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$764 +52% | 12 |
| 20d |  errormargin3 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | SellIsmail Naurdiev70¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | −$479 −44% | — |
| 20d | 01258787xy484874845451222 fills | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyIsmail Naurdiev61¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,289 +64% | 12 |
| 20d | frohp5 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori51¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 20d | TheWindKnowsmyName | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder35¢ → 0¢ | $1,160 | −$1,160 −100% | 12 |
| 20d | Fuzzy-Yoga | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori47¢ → 0¢ | $7,441 | −$7,441 −100% | 12 |
| 20d |  matanovik | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori47¢ → 0¢ | $6,416 | −$6,416 −100% | 12 |
| 20d |  0xwise | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori46¢ → 0¢ | $4,183 | −$4,183 −100% | 12 |
| 20d |  VeryLucky888 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | SellIsmail Naurdiev54¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$920 −85% | — |
| 20d | Liverpool1 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori46¢ → 0¢ | $9,116 | −$9,116 −100% | 12 |
| 20d | ninenein | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori46¢ → 0¢ | $1,003 | −$1,003 −100% | 12 |
| 20d | WYNNERBACC | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori45¢ → 0¢ | $1,948 | −$1,948 −100% | 12 |
| 20d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori45¢ → 0¢ | $3,015 | −$3,015 −100% | 12 |
| 20d | Carlos10 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori45¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 21d | rabbitfoot1 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyIsmail Naurdiev56¢ → 100¢ | $33,747 | +$26,516 +79% | 9 |
| 21d | Roulette1 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori45¢ → 0¢ | $18,860 | −$18,860 −100% | 9 |
| 22d |  njch.las | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori45¢ → 0¢ | $1,388 | −$1,388 −100% | 9 |
| 22d | Gold.Mansacks | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori45¢ → 0¢ | $2,700 | −$2,700 −100% | 9 |
| 23d | LuisSuarez9 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | BuyMarvin Vettori45¢ → 0¢ | $2,745 | −$2,745 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Marvin Vettori" if Marvin Vettori is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Ismail Naurdiev" if Ismail Naurdiev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev means the market gives it about 0%.