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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj | 50% | — | −11 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | — | +1 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | −4 pts | +1 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| McGhee in Round 3 | 50% | — | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50% | +1 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50% | +1 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | — | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Sopaj to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| McGhee to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| McGhee in Round 2 | 50% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Sopaj in Round 1 | 50% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Sopaj in Round 2 | 50% | — | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| McGhee in Round 1 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Sopaj in Round 3 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 50% | — | +1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | FightingStats | Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj | SellBernardo Sopaj50¢ | $1,996 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 23d | PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR6 fills | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder44¢ → 50¢ | $13,279 | +$1,869 +14% | 6 |
| 23d | imumoccupancy | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder44¢ → 50¢ | $2,663 | +$388 +15% | 6 |
| 23d | GambleFroth | Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj | BuyMarcus McGhee51¢ → 50¢ | $9,335 | −$183 −2.0% | 6 |
| 23d | imumoccupancy | Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj | BuyMarcus McGhee51¢ → 50¢ | $4,488 | −$88 −2.0% | 6 |
| 23d | Shocked-Prospect | Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj | BuyMarcus McGhee51¢ → 50¢ | $4,590 | −$90 −2.0% | 6 |
| 23d | kasongoYeah | Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj | BuyBernardo Sopaj46¢ → 50¢ | $5,955 | +$488 +8.2% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Marcus McGhee" if Marcus McGhee is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bernardo Sopaj at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Bernardo Sopaj" if Bernardo Sopaj is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj means the market gives it about 50%.